Portuguese Primeira Liga

Braga vs Gil Vicente prediction

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Braga meet Gil Vicente in the Portuguese Primeira Liga, kick-off 02:15 on 20/10 (GMT+7). Jarvis gives Braga a 57% chance to win, 27% for a draw and 16% for Gil Vicente; the score Jarvis predicts is 2-0. Jarvis expects 2.4 goals in the match: both teams score with 43%, 3 or more goals with 42%.

Outcome probability

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Braga

57%

Draw

27%

Gil Vicente

16%

Probability trajectory

Jarvis supercomputer

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Braga, negative favours Gil Vicente) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Tap a row to see how that market has moved.

Supremacy (Braga - Gil Vicente)+0.88

Expected total goals2.36

Expected goals Braga / Gil Vicente1.62 / 0.74

Market-standard price (decimal)

Braga win1.75

Draw3.73

Gil Vicente win6.28

Over 2.52.38

Under 2.51.72

This is the market-standard price. Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Full Asian handicap (predicted probability)

Lines shown from Braga's side

Braga −0.7550.9%

Braga −1.044.5%

Braga −0.557.3%

Braga −1.2538.2%

Braga −0.2564.0%

Braga −1.531.8%

Braga draw no bet (0.0)70.7%

Braga −1.7527.3%

Braga −2.022.8%

Braga +0.2577.4%

Braga +0.584.1%

Braga +0.7586.9%

Braga +1.089.6%

Braga +1.595.2%

Braga +2.097.1%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis supercomputer, not bookmaker prices.

Goal margin

Braga wins by more than 1 goals32%

Gil Vicente wins by more than 1 goals5%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 2.5 goals41.9%

Over 1.5 goals69.3%

Over 3.5 goals21.3%

Both teams to score

Yes / no43.0% / 57.0%

First half

First-half result (Braga / draw / Gil Vicente)40.3% / 45.1% / 14.5%

A goal in the first half64.6%

Two or more in the first half29.5%

Half-time then full-time

Braga lead at half-time then Braga win35.8%

Level at half-time then Braga win20.1%

Level at half-time then draw18.1%

Match events

25′Yellow cardMohamed Kaba
33′GoalPau Victor
38′Yellow cardLuis Miguel Correia Pinto
41′Yellow cardJean-Baptiste Gorby

Match statistics

Figures updated at 03:03 (GMT+7), refreshed every few minutes.

BragaGil Vicente

58Possession42

0.51Expected goals (xG)0.26

3Total shots3

2Shots on target1

1Corners1

5Fouls6

1Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

1Offsides0

1Saves1

93Pass accuracy (%)85

Braga vs Gil Vicente lineups

BragaFormation 3-4-2-1

Coach: Carlos Vicens

Starting lineup
31	Bernardo Fontes	GK
14	G. Lagerbielke	DF
6	Vitor Carvalho	DF
44	A. Bajrami	DF
7	Diogo Travassos	MF
8	Joao Moutinho	MF
29	J. Gorby	MF
10	Pau Victor	MF
21	Ricardo Horta	MF
50	Diego Rodrigues	MF
19	J. Wind	FW

Substitutes
22	Sergio Barcia	DF
20	M. Dorgeles	MF
34	E. Tiknaz	MF
11	Gabriel Silva	FW
9	Fran Navarro	FW
77	Gabri Martinez	FW
12	Tiago Sa	GK
23	D. Huseinbasic	MF
2	Victor Gomez	DF
78	Joao Carvalho	GK
37	A. Barisic	DF
26	B. Arrey-Mbi	DF

Gil VicenteFormation 4-2-3-1

Coach: Luis Pinto

Starting lineup
30	Lucao	GK
47	Ricardo Esgaio	DF
4	M. Elimbi Gilbert	DF
39	Jonathan Buatu	DF
45	David Moreira	DF
12	A. Lausen	MF
86	Diogo Ferreira Prioste	MF
77	Murilo	MF
10	Santi Garcia	MF
20	Gil Pinto Martins	MF
99	M. Kaba	FW

Substitutes
16	Gui Beleza	MF
3	Espigares	DF
32	M. Fernandez	MF
1	A. Picornell	GK
82	Goncalo Maia Pereira	MF
11	Joelson Fernandes	FW
27	A. Moreira	FW
6	Ze Carlos	MF
94	Samuel	GK
2	Jose Silva	DF
7	T. Toure	FW
9	Walace	FW

Braga vs Gil Vicente team form

BragaLLDWL

Last 5 matches
15/10/2026	FC Copenhagen (away)	0–3	UEFA Europa Conference League
09/10/2026	Sporting CP (home)	1–3	Primeira Liga
20/09/2026	Santa Clara (away)	0–0	Primeira Liga
14/09/2026	Estoril (home)	1–0	Primeira Liga
10/09/2026	Estrela (away)	1–2	Primeira Liga

Gil VicenteWWDLL

Last 5 matches
14/10/2026	Uniao Santarem (away)	3–2	Taca de Portugal
09/10/2026	Moreirense (away)	1–0	Primeira Liga
19/09/2026	Maritimo (home)	1–1	Primeira Liga
13/09/2026	Benfica (away)	1–3	Primeira Liga
06/09/2026	Academico Viseu (home)	0–1	Primeira Liga

Braga vs Gil Vicente head to head (H2H)

Head to head record, last 10 meetings: Braga won 5, drew 2, lost 3. Braga scored 11 and conceded 8 goals.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Competition
14/02/2026	GIL Vicente	2–1	SC Braga	Primeira Liga
14/09/2025	SC Braga	0–1	GIL Vicente	Primeira Liga
09/02/2025	SC Braga	2–0	GIL Vicente	Primeira Liga
01/09/2024	GIL Vicente	0–0	SC Braga	Primeira Liga
16/03/2024	SC Braga	2–1	GIL Vicente	Primeira Liga
28/10/2023	GIL Vicente	3–3	SC Braga	Primeira Liga
16/04/2023	SC Braga	1–0	GIL Vicente	Primeira Liga
30/10/2022	GIL Vicente	0–1	SC Braga	Primeira Liga
13/03/2022	SC Braga	0–1	GIL Vicente	Primeira Liga
25/10/2021	GIL Vicente	0–1	SC Braga	Primeira Liga

Match information

Referee: Gustavo Correia
Venue: Estadio Municipal de Braga, Braga
Round: 2

Other matches on 20/10 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.