Italian Serie A

Parma vs Torino prediction

01:45, 20/10
GMT+7
Kicking off soon

Quick preview

Parma meet Torino in the Serie A, kick-off 01:45 on 20/10 (GMT+7). In the table, Parma are 18th (4 points from 6 games) and Torino are 12th (7 points from 6 games). Jarvis gives Parma a 27% chance to win, 33% for a draw and 40% for Torino; the score Jarvis predicts is 0-1. Jarvis expects 2.1 goals in the match: both teams score with 44%, 3 or more goals with 35%.

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Outcome probability

Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Parma
27%
Draw
33%
Torino
40%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Parma, negative favours Torino) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Parma - Torino)-0.25
Expected total goals2.11
Expected goals Parma / Torino0.93 / 1.18
Both teams to score (yes / no)43.7% / 56.3%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 64.1%
Over 2.5 goals 35.4%
Over 3.5 goals 16.4%
First half
First-half result (Parma / draw / Torino)21.2% / 49.9% / 28.9%
A goal in the first half60.3%
Two or more in the first half25.7%
Half-time then full-time
Torino lead at half-time then Torino win23.6%
Level at half-time then draw22.6%
Level at half-time then Torino win15.9%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Parma's side
Parma −2.06.4%
Parma −1.758.3%
Parma −1.510.1%
Parma −1.2514.4%
Parma −1.018.6%
Parma −0.7522.9%
Parma −0.527.1%
Parma −0.2535.4%
Parma draw no bet (0.0)43.6%
Parma +0.2551.8%
Parma +0.560.0%
Parma +0.7565.6%
Parma +1.071.1%
Parma +1.582.1%
Parma +2.088.1%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Parma win3.68
Draw3.04
Torino win2.50
Over 2.52.83
Under 2.51.55

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Parma wins by more than 1 goals10%
Torino wins by more than 1 goals18%

Probability trajectory

Parma vs Torino injury report and team news

Parma
  • P. AlmqvistOut · Calf Injury
  • A. NdiayeOut · Knock
  • H. Nicolussi CavigliaOut · Groin Injury
Torino
  • F. IsraelOut · Shoulder Injury
  • N. FortiniDoubtful · Hernia
  • E. IlkhanDoubtful · Injury

Parma vs Torino team form

ParmaLWLDL
Last 5 matches
10/10/2026Inter (away)0–3
20/09/2026Genoa (home)2–1
14/09/2026Como (away)1–2
06/09/2026Monza (home)1–1
01/09/2026Cremonese (home)0–2
TorinoWDLWL
Last 5 matches
12/10/2026Udinese (home)2–1
19/09/2026Bologna (away)1–1
14/09/2026AS Roma (home)0–2
05/09/2026Fiorentina (away)2–1
01/09/2026Monza (home)0–1

Parma vs Torino head to head (H2H)

Head to head record, last 10 meetings: Parma won 3, drew 4, lost 3. Parma scored 11 and conceded 15 goals.

DateHomeScoreAway
13/03/2026Torino4–1Parma
29/09/2025Parma2–1Torino
08/03/2025Parma2–2Torino
05/01/2025Torino0–0Parma
03/05/2021Torino1–0Parma
03/01/2021Parma0–3Torino
20/06/2020Torino1–1Parma
30/09/2019Parma3–2Torino
06/04/2019Parma0–0Torino
10/11/2018Torino1–2Parma

Match information

Referee
Giovanni Ayroldi
Venue
Ennio Tardini, Parma
Round
7

Next fixtures of both teams

  • vs Lazio (away)Sun 25/10, 01:45 GMT+7 · Serie A 26-27
  • vs UdineseThu 29/10, 00:30 GMT+7 · Serie A 26-27
  • vs MonzaSat 24/10, 01:45 GMT+7 · Serie A 26-27
  • vs ComoWed 28/10, 02:45 GMT+7 · Serie A 26-27

Other matches on 20/10 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Serie A table, latest

#TeamPGDPts
1Internazionale6+1016
2Lazio6+716
3AS Roma6+1114
...
11Sassuolo7-28
12Torino6-27
13Lecce6-66
...
17Genoa6-64
18Parma6-64
19Fiorentina6-74

See the full Serie A table