Dutch Eredivisie

PSV vs Fortuna Sittard prediction

2 – 2

Full-time

Match summary

PSV vs Fortuna Sittard (Dutch Eredivisie), 09/08/2026, finished 2-2: a draw. Before the match Jarvis gave PSV 84%, the draw 10% and Fortuna Sittard 6%; the final result (a draw) had a 10% chance. The score 2-2 had a 3.0% chance; the score Jarvis predicted was 3-0. The match had 4 goals; Jarvis expected 4.2.

Next for PSV: FC Porto (Wed 21/10, 02:00 GMT+7)

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the final result below.

Full-time

PSV

84%

Draw

10%

Fortuna Sittard

Probability trajectory · full match

Final result: PSV 2 – 2 Fortuna Sittard · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 10%

Jarvis supercomputer

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours PSV, negative favours Fortuna Sittard) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Tap a row to see how that market has moved.

Supremacy (PSV - Fortuna Sittard)Actual +0+2.49

Expected total goalsActual 44.17

Expected goals PSV / Fortuna SittardActual 2 / 23.33 / 0.84

Market-standard price (decimal)

PSV win1.19

Draw9.66

Fortuna Sittard win17.68

Over 2.51.27

Under 2.54.66

This is the market-standard price. Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 3.5 goalsHappened59.9%

Over 2.5 goalsHappened78.5%

Over 1.5 goalsHappened92.2%

Full Asian handicap (predicted probability)

Lines shown from PSV's side

PSV −2.0Did not happen57.6%

PSV −1.75Did not happen62.6%

PSV −1.5Did not happen67.5%

PSV −1.25Did not happen71.7%

PSV −1.0Did not happen75.8%

PSV −0.75Did not happen79.9%

PSV −0.5Did not happen84.0%

PSV −0.25Half loss86.6%

PSV draw no bet (0.0)Push89.2%

PSV +0.25Half win91.8%

PSV +0.5Happened94.3%

PSV +0.75Happened95.4%

PSV +1.0Happened96.4%

PSV +1.5Happened98.4%

PSV +2.0Happened99.0%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis supercomputer, not bookmaker prices.

Goal margin

PSV wins by more than 1 goalsDid not happen67%

Fortuna Sittard wins by more than 1 goalsDid not happen2%

Both teams to score

Yes / noHappened54.9% / 45.1%

First half

First-half result (PSV / draw / Fortuna Sittard)65.3% / 26.0% / 8.8%

A goal in the first half84.3%

Two or more in the first half56.3%

Half-time then full-time

PSV lead at half-time then PSV win62.5%

Level at half-time then PSV win18.3%

Level at half-time then draw5.5%

Next fixtures of both teams

PSV

vs FC Porto (away)Wed 21/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27Jarvis win / draw / loss: 19% / 21% / 59%
vs Club BruggeThu 05/11, 03:00 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27