Man City vs AEK Athens prediction
Quick preview
Man City meet AEK Athens in the Champions League, kick-off 02:00 on 21/10 (GMT+7). In the table, Man City are 17th (3 points from 2 games) and AEK Athens are 20th (3 points from 2 games). Jarvis gives Man City a 90% chance to win, 7% for a draw and 3% for AEK Athens; the score Jarvis predicts is 3-0. Jarvis expects 3.8 goals in the match: both teams score with 35%, 3 or more goals with 72%.
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Outcome probability
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Probability trajectory
Man City vs AEK Athens team form
Man CityWLWWW| 17/10/2026 | Ipswich (home) | 3–2 |
| 14/10/2026 | Paris Saint Germain (home) | 2–4 |
| 11/10/2026 | Liverpool (away) | 3–0 |
| 20/09/2026 | Sunderland (home) | 5–3 |
| 17/09/2026 | Norwich (home) | 5–0 |
AEK AthensLWWW| 14/10/2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk (away) | 1–3 |
| 10/10/2026 | OFI (home) | 3–0 |
| 20/09/2026 | Volos NFC (away) | 2–1 |
| 17/09/2026 | Panserraikos (home) | 8–1 |
Match information
- Venue
- Etihad Stadium, Manchester
- Round
- 3
Next fixtures of both teams
- vs Aston Villa (away)Sat 24/10, 18:30 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27
- vs Brighton & Hove AlbionSat 31/10, 22:00 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27
- vs Real MadridThu 05/11, 00:45 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27
Other matches on 21/10 (GMT+7)
- Paris St-G vs Barcelona02:00 · Champions League39% / 22% / 39%
- Roma vs Slovan Bratislava02:00 · Champions League84% / 11% / 5%
- Porto vs PSV02:00 · Champions League59% / 21% / 19%
The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.
Champions League table, latest
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain | 2 | +7 | 6 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 2 | +7 | 6 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 2 | +7 | 6 |
| ... | ||||
| 16 | Club Brugge | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 17 | Manchester City | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 18 | Borussia Dortmund | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 19 | Lens | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 20 | AEK Athens | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 21 | RB Leipzig | 2 | -2 | 3 |