Quick preview
Porto meet PSV in the Champions League, kick-off 02:00 on 21/10 (GMT+7). In the table, Porto are 30th (0 points from 2 games) and PSV are 26th (1 point from 2 games). Jarvis gives Porto a 59% chance to win, 21% for a draw and 19% for PSV; the score Jarvis predicts is 2-1. Jarvis expects 3.0 goals in the match: both teams score with 56%, 3 or more goals with 59%.
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Outcome probability
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Probability trajectory
Porto vs PSV injury report and team news
Porto- V. SousaOut · Leg Injury
- William GomesOut · Ankle Injury
PSV- S. LammersOut · Lacking Match Fitness
- A. NagaloOut · Injury
- S. OuaissaOut · Muscle Injury
- R. PepiOut · Injury
- A. PleaOut · Surgery
- J. SchoutenOut · Knee Injury
- K. SildilliaOut · Surgery
- P. WannerOut · Foot Injury
- G. TilDoubtful · Injury
Porto vs PSV team form
PortoLWWWW| 14/10/2026 | Real Betis (away) | 2–3 |
| 10/10/2026 | Maritimo (away) | 2–1 |
| 02/10/2026 | Deportivo La Coruna (away) | 3–1 |
| 20/09/2026 | Benfica (home) | 3–1 |
| 12/09/2026 | Casa Pia (away) | 4–1 |
PSVLLWLW| 17/10/2026 | ADO Den Haag (away) | 1–2 |
| 13/10/2026 | RB Leipzig (away) | 0–1 |
| 09/10/2026 | Heerenveen (home) | 2–0 |
| 20/09/2026 | Twente (away) | 2–3 |
| 13/09/2026 | Sparta Rotterdam (home) | 4–1 |
Match information
- Venue
- Estadio do Dragao, Porto
- Round
- 3
Next fixtures of both teams
Other matches on 21/10 (GMT+7)
- Man City vs AEK Athens02:00 · Champions League90% / 7% / 3%
- Paris St-G vs Barcelona02:00 · Champions League39% / 22% / 39%
- Roma vs Slovan Bratislava02:00 · Champions League84% / 11% / 5%
The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.
Champions League table, latest
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain | 2 | +7 | 6 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 2 | +7 | 6 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 2 | +7 | 6 |
| ... | ||||
| 25 | AS Roma | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 26 | PSV Eindhoven | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 27 | VIKING FK | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| ... | ||||
| 29 | Internazionale | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 30 | FC Porto | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 31 | Slavia Prague | 2 | -3 | 0 |