UEFA Champions League Qualifiers

Fenerbahce vs Sturm Graz prediction

2 – 0

Full-time

Match summary

Fenerbahce vs Sturm Graz (Champions League), 06/08/2026, finished 2-0: Fenerbahce won. Before the match Jarvis gave Fenerbahce 75%, the draw 16% and Sturm Graz 9%; the final result (Fenerbahce win) had a 75% chance. The score 2-0 had a 12.2% chance, the most likely scoreline of the model; the score Jarvis predicted was 3-0. The match had 2 goals; Jarvis expected 3.2.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the final result below.

Full-time

Fenerbahce

75%

Draw

16%

Sturm Graz

Probability trajectory · full match

Final result: Fenerbahce 2 – 0 Sturm Graz · Fenerbahce winJarvis gave this outcome: 75% ✓

Jarvis supercomputer

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Fenerbahce, negative favours Sturm Graz) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Tap a row to see how that market has moved.

Supremacy (Fenerbahce - Sturm Graz)Actual +2+1.72

Expected total goalsActual 23.23

Expected goals Fenerbahce / Sturm GrazActual 2 / 02.47 / 0.75

Market-standard price (decimal)

Fenerbahce win1.33

Draw6.40

Sturm Graz win10.77

Over 2.51.60

Under 2.52.67

This is the market-standard price. Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 3.5 goalsDid not happen40.3%

Over 2.5 goalsDid not happen62.5%

Over 1.5 goalsHappened83.2%

Full Asian handicap (predicted probability)

Lines shown from Fenerbahce's side

Fenerbahce −1.75Half win47.4%

Fenerbahce −1.5Happened52.8%

Fenerbahce −2.0Push42.0%

Fenerbahce −1.25Happened58.4%

Fenerbahce −1.0Happened63.9%

Fenerbahce −0.75Happened69.5%

Fenerbahce −0.5Happened75.1%

Fenerbahce −0.25Happened79.0%

Fenerbahce draw no bet (0.0)Happened82.9%

Fenerbahce +0.25Happened86.8%

Fenerbahce +0.5Happened90.7%

Fenerbahce +0.75Happened92.4%

Fenerbahce +1.0Happened94.1%

Fenerbahce +1.5Happened97.5%

Fenerbahce +2.0Happened98.5%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis supercomputer, not bookmaker prices.

Goal margin

Fenerbahce wins by more than 1 goalsHappened53%

Sturm Graz wins by more than 1 goalsDid not happen3%

Both teams to score

Yes / noDid not happen48.4% / 51.6%

First half

First-half result (Fenerbahce / draw / Sturm Graz)55.7% / 33.2% / 11.2%

A goal in the first half76.6%

Two or more in the first half42.6%

Half-time then full-time

Fenerbahce lead at half-time then Fenerbahce win51.8%

Level at half-time then Fenerbahce win20.2%