UEFA Europa League Qualifiers

Ferencvaros vs Gornik Zabrze prediction

1 – 0

Full-time

Match summary

Ferencvaros vs Gornik Zabrze (Europa League), 06/08/2026, finished 1-0: Ferencvaros won. Before the match Jarvis gave Ferencvaros 59%, the draw 24% and Gornik Zabrze 16%; the actual result had a 59% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-0. The match had 1 goal; Jarvis expected 2.6.

Next for Ferencvaros: Torreense (Thu 22/10, 23:45 GMT+7)

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Ferencvaros

59%

Draw

24%

Gornik Zabrze

16%

Actual result: Ferencvaros 1 – 0 Gornik Zabrze · Ferencvaros winJarvis gave this outcome: 59% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Ferencvaros, negative favours Gornik Zabrze) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Ferencvaros - Gornik Zabrze)+0.95

Expected total goals2.61

Expected goals Ferencvaros / Gornik Zabrze1.78 / 0.83

Both teams to score (yes / no)47.6% / 52.4%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 74.3%

Over 2.5 goals 48.4%

Over 3.5 goals 26.6%

First half

First-half result (Ferencvaros / draw / Gornik Zabrze)42.5% / 42.2% / 15.3%

A goal in the first half68.5%

Two or more in the first half33.5%

Half-time then full-time

Ferencvaros lead at half-time then Ferencvaros win37.6%

Level at half-time then Ferencvaros win19.7%

Level at half-time then draw15.7%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Ferencvaros's side

Ferencvaros −2.025.3%

Ferencvaros −1.7529.9%

Ferencvaros −1.534.6%

Ferencvaros −1.2540.7%

Ferencvaros −1.046.9%

Ferencvaros −0.7553.1%

Ferencvaros −0.559.2%

Ferencvaros −0.2565.4%

Ferencvaros draw no bet (0.0)71.5%

Ferencvaros +0.2577.6%

Ferencvaros +0.583.7%

Ferencvaros +0.7586.5%

Ferencvaros +1.089.2%

Ferencvaros +1.594.8%

Ferencvaros +2.096.8%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Ferencvaros win1.69

Draw4.09

Gornik Zabrze win6.14

Over 2.52.06

Under 2.51.94

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Ferencvaros wins by more than 1 goals35%

Gornik Zabrze wins by more than 1 goals5%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

Ferencvaros

vs TorreenseThu 22/10, 23:45 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27
vs AC Milan (away)Fri 06/11, 00:45 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27

Other matches on 06/08 (GMT+7)

Fenerbahce vs Sturm Graz01:00 · Champions League2–0

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Europa League table, latest

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Juventus	2	+6	6
2	Bayer Leverkusen	2	+6	6
3	Benfica	2	+5	6
...
6	Omonia Nicosia	2	+4	6
7	Ferencvaros	2	+3	6
8	Lyon	2	+2	6

See the full Europa League table