Norwegian Eliteserien

Fredrikstad vs Kristiansund prediction

1 – 0

Full-time

Match summary

Fredrikstad vs Kristiansund (Norwegian Eliteserien), 17/08/2026, finished 1-0: Fredrikstad won. Before the match Jarvis gave Fredrikstad 54%, the draw 26% and Kristiansund 20%; the final result (Fredrikstad win) had a 54% chance. The score 1-0 had a 9.1% chance, the 4th most likely scoreline of the model; the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 1 goal; Jarvis expected 2.9.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the final result below.

Full-time

Fredrikstad

54%

Draw

26%

Kristiansund

20%

Probability trajectory · full match

Final result: Fredrikstad 1 – 0 Kristiansund · Fredrikstad winJarvis gave this outcome: 54% ✓Final call: Jarvis predicted it right from minute 3′

Jarvis supercomputer

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Fredrikstad, negative favours Kristiansund) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Tap a row to see how that market has moved.

Supremacy (Fredrikstad - Kristiansund)Actual +1+0.76

Expected total goalsActual 12.85

Expected goals Fredrikstad / KristiansundActual 1 / 01.81 / 1.05

Market-standard price (decimal)

Fredrikstad win1.86

Draw3.90

Kristiansund win4.89

Over 2.51.84

Under 2.52.19

This is the market-standard price. Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 2.5 goalsDid not happen54.4%

Over 3.5 goalsDid not happen32.0%

Over 1.5 goalsDid not happen79.1%

Full Asian handicap (predicted probability)

Lines shown from Fredrikstad's side

Fredrikstad −0.75Half win48.3%

Fredrikstad −0.5Happened53.9%

Fredrikstad −1.0Push42.6%

Fredrikstad −0.25Happened60.3%

Fredrikstad −1.25Half loss37.0%

Fredrikstad draw no bet (0.0)Happened66.7%

Fredrikstad −1.5Did not happen31.3%

Fredrikstad −1.75Did not happen27.1%

Fredrikstad +0.25Happened73.2%

Fredrikstad −2.0Did not happen22.8%

Fredrikstad +0.5Happened79.6%

Fredrikstad +0.75Happened82.7%

Fredrikstad +1.0Happened85.8%

Fredrikstad +1.5Happened92.1%

Fredrikstad +2.0Happened94.9%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis supercomputer, not bookmaker prices.

Goal margin

Fredrikstad wins by more than 1 goalsDid not happen31%

Kristiansund wins by more than 1 goalsDid not happen8%

Both teams to score

Yes / noDid not happen55.6% / 44.4%

First half

First-half result (Fredrikstad / draw / Kristiansund)39.6% / 41.9% / 18.5%

A goal in the first half71.0%

Two or more in the first half38.1%

Half-time then full-time

Fredrikstad lead at half-time then Fredrikstad win34.1%

Level at half-time then Fredrikstad win18.1%

Level at half-time then draw15.7%

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The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.