Spanish La Liga

Espanyol vs Levante prediction

3 – 0

Full-time

Match summary

Espanyol vs Levante (La Liga), 17/08/2026, finished 3-0: Espanyol won. Before the match Jarvis gave Espanyol 45%, the draw 30% and Levante 25%; the actual result had a 45% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-0. The match had 3 goals; Jarvis expected 2.4.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Espanyol

45%

Draw

30%

Levante

25%

Actual result: Espanyol 3 – 0 Levante · Espanyol winJarvis gave this outcome: 45% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Espanyol, negative favours Levante) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Espanyol - Levante)+0.43

Expected total goals2.41

Expected goals Espanyol / Levante1.42 / 0.99

Both teams to score (yes / no)49.3% / 50.7%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 71.1%

Over 2.5 goals 43.4%

Over 3.5 goals 22.4%

First half

First-half result (Espanyol / draw / Levante)33.1% / 46.6% / 20.3%

A goal in the first half65.0%

Two or more in the first half30.8%

Half-time then full-time

Espanyol lead at half-time then Espanyol win27.5%

Level at half-time then draw19.6%

Level at half-time then Espanyol win16.9%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Espanyol's side

Espanyol −2.015.8%

Espanyol −1.7519.4%

Espanyol −1.522.9%

Espanyol −1.2528.5%

Espanyol −1.034.1%

Espanyol −0.7539.7%

Espanyol −0.545.4%

Espanyol −0.2552.9%

Espanyol draw no bet (0.0)60.4%

Espanyol +0.2567.9%

Espanyol +0.575.4%

Espanyol +0.7579.2%

Espanyol +1.083.0%

Espanyol +1.590.5%

Espanyol +2.094.0%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Espanyol win2.20

Draw3.32

Levante win4.07

Over 2.52.31

Under 2.51.77

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Espanyol wins by more than 1 goals23%

Levante wins by more than 1 goals9%

Corners

Expected total corners9.7

6.5+ corners in the match51%

Cards

Expected total cards4.3

2.5+ cards in the match42%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

Espanyol

vs Atletico MadridSat 17/10, 19:00 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27Jarvis win / draw / loss: 18% / 25% / 57%
vs Racing Santander (away)Sat 24/10, 21:15 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27

Levante

vs Athletic ClubThu 22/10, 01:00 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27
vs Real Sociedad (away)Mon 26/10, 00:30 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27

La Liga table, latest

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	8	+27	24
2	Atletico Madrid	8	+10	19
3	Real Betis	8	+5	19
...
11	Villarreal	8	0	8
12	Espanyol	8	0	8
13	Rayo Vallecano	7	-5	8
...
16	Osasuna	8	-10	8
17	Levante	8	-4	7
18	Elche	8	-6	6

See the full La Liga table