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NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard prediction

NEC Nijmegen
1 – 1
Live · 29'
Fortuna Sittard

Quick preview

NEC Nijmegen meet Fortuna Sittard in the Dutch Eredivisie, kick-off 01:00 on 19/10 (GMT+7). Jarvis gives NEC Nijmegen a 55% chance to win, 23% for a draw and 22% for Fortuna Sittard; the score Jarvis predicts is 2-1. Jarvis expects 3.4 goals in the match: both teams score with 65%, 3 or more goals with 66%.

Outcome probability

No live reading yet, showing the pre-match numbers for now.
Live · 29'Offline
NEC Nijmegen
55%
Draw
23%
Fortuna Sittard
22%
Probability trajectory
Jarvis supercomputer
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours NEC Nijmegen, negative favours Fortuna Sittard) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Tap a row to see how that market has moved.
Market-standard price (decimal)
NEC Nijmegen win1.81
Draw4.32
Fortuna Sittard win4.61
Over 2.51.52
Under 2.52.92

This is the market-standard price. Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Over / Under (total goals)
Full Asian handicap (predicted probability)
Lines shown from NEC Nijmegen's side

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis supercomputer, not bookmaker prices.

Goal margin
Both teams to score
First half
First-half result (NEC Nijmegen / draw / Fortuna Sittard)41.5% / 38.4% / 20.1%
A goal in the first half76.7%
Two or more in the first half46.5%
Half-time then full-time
NEC Nijmegen lead at half-time then NEC Nijmegen win35.4%
Level at half-time then NEC Nijmegen win17.3%
Level at half-time then draw13.2%

Match events

  1. 18′GoalAnthony Descotte (assist: Rodrigo Guth)
  2. 28′GoalKevin Kers (assist: Dennis Geiger)

Match statistics

Figures updated at 01:30 (GMT+7), refreshed every few minutes.

NEC NijmegenFortuna Sittard
70Possession30
0.44Expected goals (xG)0.22
5Total shots1
3Shots on target1
2Corners0
4Fouls1
0Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
0Offsides1
0Saves2
90Pass accuracy (%)74

NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard lineups

NEC NijmegenFormation 3-4-2-1
Coach: Dick Schreuder
Starting lineup
1G. CrettazGK
21T. StormDF
22A. KaplanDF
24Deveron FonvilleDF
34Kevin KersMF
6D. NejasmicMF
18D. GeigerMF
35Jamiro MonteiroMF
20N. LebretonMF
99Clement BischoffMF
30B. LinssenFW
Substitutes
5M. BakkerDF
11W. WillumssonMF
19Adam TahauiFW
73Gabriel BrasDF
9T. CheryMF
38Joep GenesteGK
8I. Hansen-AaroenMF
66Almugera Raouf Mohammed KabarDF
42Y. MoslihDF
12N. PolsterGK
4P. SchuursDF
14K. SierhuisFW
Fortuna SittardFormation 5-3-2
Coach: D. Buijs
Starting lineup
31M. BranderhorstGK
12Ivo PintoDF
6S. van OtteleDF
3Rodrigo GuthDF
23P. BrittijnDF
28Justin Quincy HubnerDF
14S. SimonsMF
20E. MichutMF
22Shiloh Kiesar ’t ZandMF
9A. DescotteFW
25L. ZeefuikFW
Substitutes
24D. SinkgravenDF
7K. PetersonFW
1L. KoopmansGK
33K. ReitmaierGK
38Moussa GbemouMF
15N. de GrootDF
39Ganni BuyukhanMF
52M. IhattarenMF
2S. WylinDF

NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard injury report and team news

NEC Nijmegen
  • E. MorOut · Groin Injury
  • B. NuytinckOut · Ankle Injury
  • P. SandlerOut · Injury
  • D. TadicDoubtful · Injury
Fortuna Sittard
  • R. BayramOut · Knee Injury
  • I. MarquezOut · Injury
  • Y. OukiliOut · Groin Injury

NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard team form

NEC NijmegenDDDLL
Last 5 matches
15/10/2026Levski Sofia (home)1–1
10/10/2026Ajax (away)1–1
20/09/2026GO Ahead Eagles (home)1–1
17/09/2026Juventus (away)0–5
12/09/2026Cambuur (away)0–3
Fortuna SittardDWWLW
Last 5 matches
10/10/2026Twente (home)1–1
03/10/2026Genk (away)2–1
19/09/2026Willem II (away)1–0
12/09/2026Ajax (home)1–5
06/09/2026ADO Den Haag (away)3–2

NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard head to head (H2H)

Head to head record, last 10 meetings: NEC Nijmegen won 4, drew 3, lost 3. NEC Nijmegen scored 21 and conceded 14 goals.

DateHomeScoreAway
28/02/2026NEC Nijmegen2–3Fortuna Sittard
31/08/2025Fortuna Sittard3–2NEC Nijmegen
19/01/2025NEC Nijmegen4–1Fortuna Sittard
31/08/2024Fortuna Sittard0–3NEC Nijmegen
02/04/2024Fortuna Sittard1–1NEC Nijmegen
15/12/2023NEC Nijmegen4–1Fortuna Sittard
28/05/2023Fortuna Sittard1–1NEC Nijmegen
19/10/2022NEC Nijmegen3–2Fortuna Sittard
10/09/2022NEC Nijmegen1–1Fortuna Sittard
15/05/2022NEC Nijmegen0–1Fortuna Sittard

Match information

Referee
Alex Bos
Venue
Stadion de Goffert, Nijmegen
Round
9

Next fixtures of both teams

NEC Nijmegen
  • vs Dinamo Zagreb (away)Thu 22/10, 23:45 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27
  • vs Omonia NicosiaFri 06/11, 00:45 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27

Other matches on 19/10 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.