Quick preview
Lyon meet Nice in the Ligue 1, kick-off 01:45 on 19/10 (GMT+7). In the table, Lyon are 5th (11 points from 6 games) and Nice are 10th (8 points from 6 games). Jarvis gives Lyon a 53% chance to win, 25% for a draw and 21% for Nice; the score Jarvis predicts is 2-0. Jarvis expects 2.6 goals in the match: both teams score with 50%, 3 or more goals with 48%.
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Outcome probability
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Probability trajectory
Lyon vs Nice injury report and team news
Lyon- L. OpendaOut · Leg Injury
- M. OuedraogoOut · Knee Injury
- N. TagliaficoOut · Knee Injury
Nice- L. AbergelOut · Knee Injury
- M. BombitoOut · Leg Injury
- A. MendyOut · Knee Injury
- M. SansonOut · Knee Injury
- A. AbdiDoubtful · Muscle Injury
Lyon vs Nice team form
LyonWLWWD| 15/10/2026 | Crystal Palace (home) | 3–2 |
| 09/10/2026 | Lens (away) | 1–2 |
| 19/09/2026 | Rennes (home) | 4–0 |
| 16/09/2026 | Anderlecht (away) | 2–1 |
| 12/09/2026 | Paris FC (away) | 0–0 |
NiceWWLDL| 11/10/2026 | Strasbourg (home) | 2–1 |
| 20/09/2026 | Lille (home) | 2–1 |
| 12/09/2026 | Auxerre (away) | 0–1 |
| 05/09/2026 | Le Mans (home) | 1–1 |
| 30/08/2026 | Paris FC (away) | 0–3 |
Lyon vs Nice head to head (H2H)
Head to head record, last 10 meetings: Lyon won 5, drew 2, lost 3. Lyon scored 17 and conceded 11 goals.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/2026 | Lyon | 2–0 | Nice |
| 18/10/2025 | Nice | 3–2 | Lyon |
| 09/03/2025 | Nice | 0–2 | Lyon |
| 01/12/2024 | Lyon | 4–1 | Nice |
| 16/02/2024 | Lyon | 1–0 | Nice |
| 27/08/2023 | Nice | 0–0 | Lyon |
| 03/06/2023 | Nice | 3–1 | Lyon |
| 11/11/2022 | Lyon | 1–1 | Nice |
| 12/02/2022 | Lyon | 2–0 | Nice |
| 24/10/2021 | Nice | 3–2 | Lyon |
Match information
- Referee
- Francois Letexier
- Venue
- Groupama Stadium, Lyon
- Round
- 7
Next fixtures of both teams
Other matches on 19/10 (GMT+7)
The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.
Ligue 1 table, latest
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain | 7 | +5 | 14 |
| 2 | AS Monaco | 6 | +5 | 14 |
| 3 | Lille | 6 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 | Stade Rennais | 6 | +2 | 13 |
| 5 | Lyon | 6 | +7 | 11 |
| 6 | Paris FC | 6 | +4 | 11 |
| ... | ||||
| 9 | Lorient | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Nice | 6 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | Lens | 6 | +1 | 7 |