UEFA Champions League

Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig prediction

02:00, 22/10
GMT+7
Kicking off soon

Quick preview

Real Madrid meet RB Leipzig in the Champions League, kick-off 02:00 on 22/10 (GMT+7). In the table, Real Madrid are 8th (6 points from 2 games) and RB Leipzig are 21st (3 points from 2 games). Jarvis gives Real Madrid a 78% chance to win, 13% for a draw and 9% for RB Leipzig; the score Jarvis predicts is 3-1. Jarvis expects 4.1 goals in the match: both teams score with 61%, 3 or more goals with 77%.

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Outcome probability

Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Real Madrid
78%
Draw
13%
RB Leipzig
9%
Probability trajectory
Jarvis supercomputer
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Real Madrid, negative favours RB Leipzig) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Tap a row to see how that market has moved.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Real Madrid win1.28
Draw7.68
RB Leipzig win11.04
Over 2.51.30
Under 2.54.38

This is the market-standard price. Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Full Asian handicap (predicted probability)
Lines shown from Real Madrid's side

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis supercomputer, not bookmaker prices.

Goal margin
Over / Under (total goals)
Both teams to score
First half
First-half result (Real Madrid / draw / RB Leipzig)59.9% / 28.2% / 12.0%
A goal in the first half83.8%
Two or more in the first half54.8%
Half-time then full-time
Real Madrid lead at half-time then Real Madrid win55.9%
Level at half-time then Real Madrid win18.2%
Level at half-time then draw6.7%

Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig injury report and team news

Real Madrid
  • R. AsencioOut · Broken Leg
  • F. MendyOut · Hip Injury
  • RodrygoOut · Knee Injury
RB Leipzig
  • C. BaumgartnerOut · Thigh Injury
  • M. GuiuOut · Hamstring Injury
  • A. OuedraogoOut · Shoulder Injury

Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig team form

Real MadridWWWLW
Last 5 matches
18/10/2026Sevilla (home)4–1
14/10/2026AS Roma (away)4–3
10/10/2026Villarreal (home)1–0
20/09/2026Atletico Madrid (away)1–2
15/09/2026Elche (away)3–2
RB LeipzigLWWLW
Last 5 matches
17/10/2026Bayern Munchen (away)1–6
13/10/2026PSV Eindhoven (home)1–0
10/10/2026Eintracht Frankfurt (home)6–0
20/09/2026Bayer Leverkusen (away)0–2
13/09/2026Hamburger SV (home)5–0

Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig head to head (H2H)

Head to head record, last 4 meetings: Real Madrid won 2, drew 1, lost 1. Real Madrid scored 6 and conceded 4 goals.

DateHomeScoreAway
06/03/2024Real Madrid1–1RB Leipzig
13/02/2024RB Leipzig0–1Real Madrid
25/10/2022RB Leipzig3–2Real Madrid
14/09/2022Real Madrid2–0RB Leipzig

Match information

Venue
Santiago Bernabeu Stadium, Madrid
Round
3

Next fixtures of both teams

  • vs Barcelona (away)Mon 26/10, 03:00 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27
  • vs Racing Santander (away)Sun 01/11, 22:15 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27
  • vs SV ElversbergSat 24/10, 20:30 GMT+7 · Bundesliga 26-27
  • vs Schalke 04 (away)Sat 31/10, 21:30 GMT+7 · Bundesliga 26-27

Other matches on 22/10 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Champions League table, latest

#TeamPGDPts
1Paris Saint-Germain2+76
2Barcelona2+76
3Aston Villa2+76
...
7Arsenal2+46
8Real Madrid2+26
9Real Betis2+26
...
20AEK Athens2-13
21RB Leipzig2-23
22Sabah FK2-23

See the full Champions League table