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UEFA Champions League

Paris St-G vs Barcelona prediction

Paris St-G
02:00, 21/10
GMT+7
Kicking off soon
Barcelona

Quick preview

Paris St-G meet Barcelona in the Champions League, kick-off 02:00 on 21/10 (GMT+7). In the table, Paris St-G are 1st (6 points from 2 games) and Barcelona are 2nd (6 points from 2 games). Jarvis gives Paris St-G a 39% chance to win, 22% for a draw and 39% for Barcelona; the score Jarvis predicts is 2-1. Jarvis expects 4.2 goals in the match: both teams score with 78%, 3 or more goals with 79%. Last 3 meetings: Paris St-G won 2, 0 drawn, Barcelona won 1.

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Outcome probability

Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Paris St-G
39%
Draw
22%
Barcelona
39%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Paris St-G, negative favours Barcelona) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Paris St-G - Barcelona)+0.02
Expected total goals4.18
Expected goals Paris St-G / Barcelona2.10 / 2.08
Both teams to score (yes / no)77.6% / 22.4%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 92.9%
Over 2.5 goals 78.7%
Over 3.5 goals 60.1%
First half
First-half result (Paris St-G / draw / Barcelona)32.6% / 35.3% / 32.2%
A goal in the first half83.1%
Two or more in the first half57.7%
Half-time then full-time
Paris St-G lead at half-time then Paris St-G win24.3%
Barcelona lead at half-time then Barcelona win23.8%
Level at half-time then Paris St-G win12.1%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Paris St-G's side
Paris St-G −2.016.6%
Paris St-G −1.7519.6%
Paris St-G −1.522.6%
Paris St-G −1.2526.8%
Paris St-G −1.031.0%
Paris St-G −0.7535.2%
Paris St-G −0.539.4%
Paris St-G −0.2544.9%
Paris St-G draw no bet (0.0)50.3%
Paris St-G +0.2555.8%
Paris St-G +0.561.2%
Paris St-G +0.7565.4%
Paris St-G +1.069.6%
Paris St-G +1.577.9%
Paris St-G +2.083.8%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Paris St-G win2.54
Draw4.58
Barcelona win2.58
Over 2.51.27
Under 2.54.70

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Paris St-G wins by more than 1 goals23%
Barcelona wins by more than 1 goals22%

Probability trajectory

Paris St-G vs Barcelona injury report and team news

Paris St-G
  • A. LongoniOut · Injury
  • S. MayuluOut · Muscle Injury
Barcelona
  • R. BardghjiOut · Knee Injury
  • A. ChristensenOut · Muscle Injury
  • Gabriel JesusDoubtful · Injury

Paris St-G vs Barcelona team form

Paris St-GWWWWW
Last 5 matches
17/10/2026Strasbourg (away)3–1
14/10/2026Manchester City (away)4–2
10/10/2026Le Mans (home)3–1
20/09/2026Marseille (away)2–1
13/09/2026Stade Brestois 29 (away)1–0
BarcelonaWWWWW
Last 5 matches
17/10/2026Real Betis (away)5–2
13/10/2026Galatasaray (away)4–1
10/10/2026Getafe (home)3–0
19/09/2026Sevilla (away)3–1
16/09/2026Racing Santander (home)7–2

Paris St-G vs Barcelona head to head (H2H)

Head to head record, last 10 meetings: Paris St-G won 4, drew 1, lost 5. Paris St-G scored 20 and conceded 21 goals.

DateHomeScoreAway
01/10/2025Barcelona1–2Paris Saint Germain
16/04/2024Barcelona1–4Paris Saint Germain
10/04/2024Paris Saint Germain2–3Barcelona
10/03/2021Paris Saint Germain1–1Barcelona
16/02/2021Barcelona1–4Paris Saint Germain
08/03/2017Barcelona6–1Paris Saint Germain
14/02/2017Paris Saint Germain4–0Barcelona
21/04/2015Barcelona2–0Paris Saint Germain
15/04/2015Paris Saint Germain1–3Barcelona
10/12/2014Barcelona3–1Paris Saint Germain

Match information

Venue
Parc des Princes, Paris
Round
3

Next fixtures of both teams

Paris St-G
  • vs LyonMon 26/10, 02:45 GMT+7 · Ligue 1 26-27
  • vs Le Havre AC (away)Sat 31/10, 01:00 GMT+7 · Ligue 1 26-27
Barcelona
  • vs Real MadridMon 26/10, 03:00 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27
  • vs AlavesSun 01/11, 03:00 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27

Other matches on 21/10 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Champions League table, latest

#TeamPGDPts
1Paris Saint-Germain2+76
2Barcelona2+76
3Aston Villa2+76

See the full Champions League table