UEFA Champions League

Liverpool vs Villarreal prediction

02:00, 21/10
GMT+7
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Liverpool meet Villarreal in the Champions League, kick-off 02:00 on 21/10 (GMT+7). In the table, Liverpool are 5th (6 points from 2 games) and Villarreal are 14th (3 points from 2 games). Jarvis gives Liverpool a 65% chance to win, 20% for a draw and 15% for Villarreal; the score Jarvis predicts is 2-1. Jarvis expects 3.2 goals in the match: both teams score with 57%, 3 or more goals with 63%.

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Outcome probability

Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Liverpool
65%
Draw
20%
Villarreal
15%
Probability trajectory
Jarvis supercomputer
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Liverpool, negative favours Villarreal) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Tap a row to see how that market has moved.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Liverpool win1.55
Draw4.90
Villarreal win6.63
Over 2.51.59
Under 2.52.70

This is the market-standard price. Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Full Asian handicap (predicted probability)
Lines shown from Liverpool's side

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis supercomputer, not bookmaker prices.

Goal margin
Over / Under (total goals)
Both teams to score
First half
First-half result (Liverpool / draw / Villarreal)47.8% / 36.7% / 15.5%
A goal in the first half76.0%
Two or more in the first half43.7%
Half-time then full-time
Liverpool lead at half-time then Liverpool win42.7%
Level at half-time then Liverpool win19.1%
Level at half-time then draw11.8%

Liverpool vs Villarreal injury report and team news

Liverpool
  • C. BradleyOut · Knee Injury
  • H. EkitikeOut · Achilles Tendon Injury
  • G. LeoniOut · Knee Injury
  • J. FrimpongDoubtful · Injury
Villarreal
  • T. BuchananOut · Muscle Injury
  • N. PepeOut · Eye injury

Liverpool vs Villarreal team form

LiverpoolWWLWW
Last 5 matches
17/10/2026Brentford (away)2–1
14/10/2026Lask Linz (away)6–3
11/10/2026Manchester City (home)0–3
20/09/2026Bournemouth (away)1–0
15/09/2026Tottenham (home)3–1
VillarrealDWLWW
Last 5 matches
17/10/2026Elche (home)0–0
13/10/2026Napoli (home)3–1
10/10/2026Real Madrid (away)0–1
20/09/2026Levante (home)3–1
17/09/2026Malaga (away)3–1

Liverpool vs Villarreal head to head (H2H)

Head to head record, last 4 meetings: Liverpool won 3, drew 0, lost 1. Liverpool scored 8 and conceded 3 goals.

DateHomeScoreAway
03/05/2022Villarreal2–3Liverpool
27/04/2022Liverpool2–0Villarreal
05/05/2016Liverpool3–0Villarreal
28/04/2016Villarreal1–0Liverpool

Match information

Referee
Szymon Marciniak
Venue
Anfield, Liverpool
Round
3

Next fixtures of both teams

  • vs Brighton & Hove AlbionSun 25/10, 21:00 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27
  • vs ArsenalSun 01/11, 23:30 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27
  • vs Valencia (away)Sat 24/10, 23:30 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27
  • vs EspanyolSat 31/10, 03:00 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27

Other matches on 21/10 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Champions League table, latest

See the full Champions League table