UEFA Europa League
Anderlecht
02:00, 17/09
Kicking off soon
Lyon

Outcome probability

Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Anderlecht
32%
Draw
28%
Lyon
40%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Anderlecht, negative favours Lyon) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Anderlecht - Lyon)-0.19
Expected total goals2.77
Expected goals Anderlecht / Lyon1.29 / 1.48
Both teams to score (yes / no)57.4% / 42.6%
Goal margin
Anderlecht wins by more than 1 goals14%
Lyon wins by more than 1 goals20%

Probability trajectory