UEFA Europa League
AC Milan
02:00, 17/09
Kicking off soon
BenficaOutcome probability
Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
AC Milan
42%
Draw
28%
Benfica
30%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours AC Milan, negative favours Benfica) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (AC Milan - Benfica)+0.25
Expected total goals2.87
Expected goals AC Milan / Benfica1.56 / 1.31
Both teams to score (yes / no)59.4% / 40.6%
Goal margin
AC Milan wins by more than 1 goals22%
Benfica wins by more than 1 goals14%
Corners
Expected total corners9.3
6.5+ corners in the match45%
Cards
Expected total cards3.4
2.5+ cards in the match43%