English Football League Cup
Everton
01:45, 17/09
Kicking off soon
Wolves

Outcome probability

Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Everton
66%
Draw
21%
Wolves
13%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Everton, negative favours Wolves) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Everton - Wolves)+1.27
Expected total goals2.99
Expected goals Everton / Wolves2.13 / 0.86
Both teams to score (yes / no)51.4% / 48.6%
Goal margin
Everton wins by more than 1 goals43%
Wolves wins by more than 1 goals4%
Corners
Expected total corners9.8
6.5+ corners in the match52%
Cards
Expected total cards2.1
2.5+ cards in the match35%

Probability trajectory