UEFA Europa League
Leverkusen
02:00, 17/09
Kicking off soonNK Celje
Outcome probability
Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Leverkusen
94%
Draw
4%
NK Celje
2%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Leverkusen, negative favours NK Celje) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Leverkusen - NK Celje)+3.56
Expected total goals4.57
Expected goals Leverkusen / NK Celje4.07 / 0.51
Both teams to score (yes / no)38.9% / 61.1%
Goal margin
Leverkusen wins by more than 1 goals83%
NK Celje wins by more than 1 goals0%
Corners
Expected total corners10.2
6.5+ corners in the match45%
Cards
Expected total cards1.7
2.5+ cards in the match23%