English Football League Cup
Man Utd
02:00, 17/09
Kicking off soon
BrightonOutcome probability
Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Man Utd
60%
Draw
21%
Brighton
19%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Man Utd, negative favours Brighton) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Man Utd - Brighton)+1.05
Expected total goals3.76
Expected goals Man Utd / Brighton2.41 / 1.35
Both teams to score (yes / no)68.7% / 31.3%
Goal margin
Man Utd wins by more than 1 goals39%
Brighton wins by more than 1 goals8%
Corners
Expected total corners9.7
6.5+ corners in the match50%
Cards
Expected total cards2.6
2.5+ cards in the match48%