Outcome probability
Updating live as the match unfolds
LiveOffline
Lincoln
17%
Draw
25%
West Ham
57%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Lincoln, negative favours West Ham) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Lincoln - West Ham)-0.88
Expected total goals2.59
Expected goals Lincoln / West Ham0.86 / 1.74
Both teams to score (yes / no)48.2% / 51.8%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 73.9%
Over 2.5 goals 48.0%
Over 3.5 goals 26.2%
First half
First-half result (Lincoln / draw / West Ham)16.1% / 42.6% / 41.3%
A goal in the first half68.2%
Two or more in the first half33.2%
Half-time then full-time
West Ham lead at half-time then West Ham win36.2%
Level at half-time then West Ham win19.3%
Level at half-time then draw16.0%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Lincoln's side
Lincoln −2.03.6%
Lincoln −1.754.7%
Lincoln −1.55.8%
Lincoln −1.258.7%
Lincoln −1.011.6%
Lincoln −0.7514.6%
Lincoln −0.517.5%
Lincoln −0.2523.8%
Lincoln draw no bet (0.0)30.0%
Lincoln +0.2536.3%
Lincoln +0.542.6%
Lincoln +0.7548.7%
Lincoln +1.054.8%
Lincoln +1.567.1%
Lincoln +2.076.1%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Lincoln win5.72
Draw3.99
West Ham win1.74
Over 2.52.08
Under 2.51.92
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Lincoln wins by more than 1 goals6%
West Ham wins by more than 1 goals33%
Corners
Expected total corners10.3
6.5+ corners in the match46%
Cards
Expected total cards2.3
2.5+ cards in the match41%
Probability trajectory
Match events
- 3′Red cardThomas Hamer
- 23′Red cardConor McGrandles
- 45′GoalKonstantinos Mavropanos (assist: Jarrod Bowen)
Match statistics
LincolnWest Ham
19Possession81
0.11Expected goals (xG)1.17
4Total shots13
0Shots on target3
2Corners6
4Fouls8
0Yellow cards0
2Red cards0
0Offsides3
2Saves0
46Pass accuracy (%)89
Lincoln vs West Ham lineups
LincolnFormation 4-2-3-1
Coach: Chris Cohen
| 1 | G. Wickens | GK |
| 25 | D. Elerewe | DF |
| 22 | T. Hamer | DF |
| 15 | S. Bradley | DF |
| 20 | C. Elder | DF |
| 14 | C. McGrandles | MF |
| 24 | I. Varfolomeev | MF |
| 27 | C. Ogbene | MF |
| 33 | D. Oyegoke | MF |
| 18 | B. House | MF |
| 34 | F. Draper | FW |
| 8 | T. Bayliss | MF |
| 4 | A. Coubis | DF |
| 46 | J. Gauci | GK |
| 16 | D. Jefferies | MF |
| 26 | Y. Konak | MF |
| 11 | M. Ladefoged | FW |
| 3 | A. Reach | MF |
| 17 | R. Street | FW |
| 6 | R. Towler | DF |
West HamFormation 4-4-1-1Coach: Nuno Espirito Santo
| 1 | M. Hermansen | GK |
| 34 | J. Veltman | DF |
| 15 | K. Mavropanos | DF |
| 3 | M. Kilman | DF |
| 5 | Morato | DF |
| 20 | J. Bowen | MF |
| 7 | A. Engels | MF |
| 17 | M. Kante | MF |
| 10 | M. Solomon | MF |
| 19 | Pablo | MF |
| 9 | J. Piroe | FW |
| 11 | V. Castellanos | FW |
| 58 | A. Golambeckis | DF |
| 14 | D. Mukasa | MF |
| 61 | L. Orford | MF |
| 30 | O. Scarles | DF |
| 28 | T. Soucek | MF |
| 2 | K. Walker-Peters | DF |
| 35 | E. Austbo | FW |
| 23 | A. Areola | GK |
Lincoln vs West Ham injury report and team news
Lincoln
- T. DarikwaOut · Knee Injury
- M. MeliaOut · Thigh Injury
West Ham- K. LamadridOut · Injury
Lincoln vs West Ham team form
LincolnLLWWL
| 10/10/2026 | Sheffield Utd (away) | 0–3 |
| 19/09/2026 | Swansea (home) | 1–2 |
| 15/09/2026 | Bristol City (away) | 1–0 |
| 12/09/2026 | Preston (away) | 1–0 |
| 08/09/2026 | Bournemouth (away) | 0–4 |
West HamDDLWW| 09/10/2026 | QPR (home) | 1–1 |
| 19/09/2026 | Millwall (away) | 2–2 |
| 15/09/2026 | Fulham (home) | 2–3 |
| 11/09/2026 | Wrexham (home) | 6–0 |
| 08/09/2026 | Bolton (away) | 3–2 |
Lincoln vs West Ham head to head (H2H)
Head to head record, last 1 meetings: Lincoln won 0, drew 0, lost 1. Lincoln scored 0 and conceded 1 goals.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/2023 | Lincoln | 0–1 | West Ham |
Match information
- Referee
- Andrew Kitchen
- Venue
- Sincil Bank, Lincoln
- Round
- 10