Outcome probability
Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Betis
46%
Draw
26%
Porto
28%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Betis, negative favours Porto) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Betis - Porto)+0.39
Expected total goals2.62
Expected goals Betis / Porto1.51 / 1.11
Both teams to score (yes / no)52.5% / 47.5%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 73.9%
Over 2.5 goals 48.7%
Over 3.5 goals 26.9%
First half
First-half result (Betis / draw / Porto)34.4% / 42.5% / 23.1%
A goal in the first half69.1%
Two or more in the first half33.2%
Half-time then full-time
Betis lead at half-time then Betis win27.9%
Level at half-time then draw16.0%
Level at half-time then Betis win16.0%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Betis's side
Betis −2.016.2%
Betis −1.7519.7%
Betis −1.523.2%
Betis −1.2528.9%
Betis −1.034.7%
Betis −0.7540.4%
Betis −0.546.1%
Betis −0.2552.6%
Betis draw no bet (0.0)59.2%
Betis +0.2565.7%
Betis +0.572.2%
Betis +0.7576.4%
Betis +1.080.6%
Betis +1.589.1%
Betis +2.092.9%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Betis win2.17
Draw3.83
Porto win3.60
Over 2.52.05
Under 2.51.95
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Betis wins by more than 1 goals23%
Porto wins by more than 1 goals11%