English Sky Bet Championship
Portsmouth vs Sheff Utd prediction
01:45, 15/10
GMT+7
Kicking off soonOutcome probability
Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Portsmouth
40%
Draw
31%
Sheff Utd
30%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Portsmouth, negative favours Sheff Utd) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Portsmouth - Sheff Utd)+0.20
Expected total goals2.20
Expected goals Portsmouth / Sheff Utd1.20 / 1.00
Both teams to score (yes / no)44.9% / 55.1%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 65.3%
Over 2.5 goals 37.7%
Over 3.5 goals 18.0%
First half
First-half result (Portsmouth / draw / Sheff Utd)29.1% / 47.8% / 23.1%
A goal in the first half62.3%
Two or more in the first half26.6%
Half-time then full-time
Portsmouth lead at half-time then Portsmouth win23.2%
Level at half-time then draw20.5%
Sheff Utd lead at half-time then Sheff Utd win16.8%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Portsmouth's side
Portsmouth −2.011.7%
Portsmouth −1.7514.6%
Portsmouth −1.517.5%
Portsmouth −1.2523.1%
Portsmouth −1.028.6%
Portsmouth −0.7534.2%
Portsmouth −0.539.8%
Portsmouth −0.2547.4%
Portsmouth draw no bet (0.0)55.0%
Portsmouth +0.2562.6%
Portsmouth +0.570.3%
Portsmouth +0.7574.9%
Portsmouth +1.079.5%
Portsmouth +1.588.7%
Portsmouth +2.092.8%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Portsmouth win2.52
Draw3.28
Sheff Utd win3.36
Over 2.52.65
Under 2.51.60
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Portsmouth wins by more than 1 goals17%
Sheff Utd wins by more than 1 goals11%
Probability trajectory
Portsmouth vs Sheff Utd injury report and team news
Portsmouth- L. Brooke-SmithOut · Ankle Injury
- M. KosznovszkyOut · Knee Injury
- J. MurphyOut · Groin Injury
- C. OgilvieOut · Knee Injury
- F. UmehOut · Hamstring Injury
- T. WaddinghamOut · Ankle Injury
Sheff Utd
- F. SerikiDoubtful · Knee Injury
Portsmouth vs Sheff Utd team form
PortsmouthLDDWL| 11/10/2026 | Southampton (away) | 0–1 |
| 19/09/2026 | Blackburn (home) | 2–2 |
| 12/09/2026 | Charlton (away) | 0–0 |
| 05/09/2026 | Cardiff (home) | 2–0 |
| 01/09/2026 | Derby (home) | 0–2 |
Sheff UtdWLLLW
| 10/10/2026 | Lincoln (home) | 3–0 |
| 19/09/2026 | Stoke City (away) | 1–2 |
| 16/09/2026 | Fleetwood Town (away) | 0–1 |
| 13/09/2026 | Wolves (home) | 0–1 |
| 08/09/2026 | Blackburn (away) | 2–1 |
Portsmouth vs Sheff Utd head to head (H2H)
Head to head record, last 6 meetings: Portsmouth won 1, drew 1, lost 4. Portsmouth scored 4 and conceded 7 goals.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/2026 | Portsmouth | 0–1 | Sheffield Utd |
| 26/11/2025 | Sheffield Utd | 3–0 | Portsmouth |
| 08/02/2025 | Sheffield Utd | 2–1 | Portsmouth |
| 28/09/2024 | Portsmouth | 0–0 | Sheffield Utd |
| 20/04/2013 | Portsmouth | 3–0 | Sheffield Utd |
| 29/10/2012 | Sheffield Utd | 1–0 | Portsmouth |
Match information
- Venue
- Fratton Park, Portsmouth
- Round
- 10