English Sky Bet Championship
Norwich
19:30, 20/09
Kicking off soon
Bolton

Outcome probability

Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Norwich
68%
Draw
19%
Bolton
13%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Norwich, negative favours Bolton) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Norwich - Bolton)+1.41
Expected total goals3.25
Expected goals Norwich / Bolton2.33 / 0.92
Both teams to score (yes / no)54.7% / 45.3%
Total goals
More than 1.5 goals84.0%
More than 2.5 goals63.0%
More than 3.5 goals40.8%
First half
First-half result (Norwich / draw / Bolton)50.6% / 35.5% / 13.9%
A goal in the first half76.3%
Two or more in the first half43.5%
Half-time then full-time
Norwich ahead then Norwich win46.0%
level then Norwich win19.6%
level then draw10.9%
Goal margin
Norwich wins by more than 1 goals46%
Bolton wins by more than 1 goals4%

Probability trajectory