Spanish La Liga
Getafe
00
Live · 0'
Malaga

Outcome probability

Updating live as the match unfolds
LiveOffline
Getafe
47%
Draw
32%
Malaga
21%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Getafe, negative favours Malaga) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Getafe - Malaga)+0.52
Expected total goals2.12
Expected goals Getafe / Malaga1.32 / 0.80
Both teams to score (yes / no)42.0% / 58.0%
Total goals
More than 1.5 goals64.2%
More than 2.5 goals35.6%
More than 3.5 goals16.6%
Winning margin
Getafe win by 2 or more23.1%
Getafe win47.3%
Getafe avoid defeat (win or draw)78.9%
Getafe lose by no more than 193.0%
First half
First-half result (Getafe / draw / Malaga)33.3% / 49.2% / 17.4%
A goal in the first half60.5%
Two or more in the first half25.8%
Half-time then full-time
Getafe ahead then Getafe win28.5%
level then draw21.9%
level then Getafe win18.2%
Goal margin
Getafe wins by more than 1 goals23%
Malaga wins by more than 1 goals7%
Corners
Expected total corners8.7
6.5+ corners in the match50%
Cards
Expected total cards4.6
2.5+ cards in the match48%

Probability trajectory