English Premier League
Leeds
20:00, 20/09
Kicking off soon
Crystal PalaceOutcome probability
Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Leeds
56%
Draw
25%
Crystal Palace
19%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Leeds, negative favours Crystal Palace) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Leeds - Crystal Palace)+0.85
Expected total goals2.79
Expected goals Leeds / Crystal Palace1.82 / 0.97
Both teams to score (yes / no)53.1% / 46.9%
Total goals
More than 1.5 goals77.9%
More than 2.5 goals52.8%
More than 3.5 goals30.6%
First half
First-half result (Leeds / draw / Crystal Palace)41.1% / 41.7% / 17.2%
A goal in the first half70.5%
Two or more in the first half36.8%
Half-time then full-time
Leeds ahead then Leeds win35.8%
level then Leeds win18.8%
level then draw15.5%
Goal margin
Leeds wins by more than 1 goals33%
Crystal Palace wins by more than 1 goals7%
Corners
Expected total corners9.7
6.5+ corners in the match50%
Cards
Expected total cards3.5
2.5+ cards in the match45%