English Premier League
Man City
20:00, 20/09
Kicking off soon
SunderlandOutcome probability
Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Man City
73%
Draw
17%
Sunderland
10%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Man City, negative favours Sunderland) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Man City - Sunderland)+1.56
Expected total goals2.95
Expected goals Man City / Sunderland2.25 / 0.70
Both teams to score (yes / no)44.7% / 55.3%
Total goals
More than 1.5 goals79.2%
More than 2.5 goals56.5%
More than 3.5 goals34.1%
First half
First-half result (Man City / draw / Sunderland)53.1% / 35.5% / 11.4%
A goal in the first half73.5%
Two or more in the first half38.2%
Half-time then full-time
Man City ahead then Man City win49.2%
level then Man City win20.7%
level then draw10.7%
Goal margin
Man City wins by more than 1 goals49%
Sunderland wins by more than 1 goals3%
Corners
Expected total corners10.3
6.5+ corners in the match46%
Cards
Expected total cards3.2
2.5+ cards in the match39%