UEFA Champions League

Lask Linz vs Liverpool prediction

23:45, 14/10
GMT+7
Kicking off soon

Outcome probability

Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Lask Linz
8%
Draw
15%
Liverpool
77%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Lask Linz, negative favours Liverpool) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Lask Linz - Liverpool)-1.87
Expected total goals3.37
Expected goals Lask Linz / Liverpool0.75 / 2.62
Both teams to score (yes / no)49.2% / 50.8%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 85.3%
Over 2.5 goals 65.4%
Over 3.5 goals 43.5%
First half
First-half result (Lask Linz / draw / Liverpool)10.2% / 32.4% / 57.4%
A goal in the first half77.7%
Two or more in the first half45.2%
Half-time then full-time
Liverpool lead at half-time then Liverpool win54.0%
Level at half-time then Liverpool win20.3%
Level at half-time then draw8.8%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Lask Linz's side
Lask Linz −2.01.4%
Lask Linz −1.751.8%
Lask Linz −1.52.2%
Lask Linz −1.253.7%
Lask Linz −1.05.1%
Lask Linz −0.756.6%
Lask Linz −0.58.1%
Lask Linz −0.2511.8%
Lask Linz draw no bet (0.0)15.5%
Lask Linz +0.2519.3%
Lask Linz +0.523.0%
Lask Linz +0.7528.2%
Lask Linz +1.033.5%
Lask Linz +1.544.0%
Lask Linz +2.054.8%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Lask Linz win12.42
Draw6.70
Liverpool win1.30
Over 2.51.53
Under 2.52.89

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Lask Linz wins by more than 1 goals2%
Liverpool wins by more than 1 goals56%

Probability trajectory