Outcome probability
Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Feyenoord
27%
Draw
24%
Como
50%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Feyenoord, negative favours Como) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Feyenoord - Como)-0.55
Expected total goals3.43
Expected goals Feyenoord / Como1.44 / 1.99
Both teams to score (yes / no)66.7% / 33.3%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 86.5%
Over 2.5 goals 66.5%
Over 3.5 goals 44.8%
First half
First-half result (Feyenoord / draw / Como)23.8% / 38.1% / 38.1%
A goal in the first half77.4%
Two or more in the first half46.8%
Half-time then full-time
Como lead at half-time then Como win31.2%
Feyenoord lead at half-time then Feyenoord win15.8%
Level at half-time then Como win15.7%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Feyenoord's side
Feyenoord −2.08.5%
Feyenoord −1.7510.4%
Feyenoord −1.512.4%
Feyenoord −1.2516.1%
Feyenoord −1.019.7%
Feyenoord −0.7523.3%
Feyenoord −0.526.9%
Feyenoord −0.2532.8%
Feyenoord draw no bet (0.0)38.7%
Feyenoord +0.2544.6%
Feyenoord +0.550.5%
Feyenoord +0.7555.6%
Feyenoord +1.060.7%
Feyenoord +1.570.9%
Feyenoord +2.078.5%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Feyenoord win3.71
Draw4.25
Como win2.02
Over 2.51.50
Under 2.52.99
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Feyenoord wins by more than 1 goals12%
Como wins by more than 1 goals29%