UEFA Champions League
Man City vs Paris St-G prediction
02:00, 15/10
GMT+7
Kicking off soonOutcome probability
Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Man City
45%
Draw
24%
Paris St-G
31%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Man City, negative favours Paris St-G) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Man City - Paris St-G)+0.33
Expected total goals3.20
Expected goals Man City / Paris St-G1.76 / 1.43
Both teams to score (yes / no)63.6% / 36.4%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 83.3%
Over 2.5 goals 62.0%
Over 3.5 goals 39.7%
First half
First-half result (Man City / draw / Paris St-G)35.1% / 38.6% / 26.3%
A goal in the first half75.7%
Two or more in the first half42.7%
Half-time then full-time
Man City lead at half-time then Man City win27.7%
Paris St-G lead at half-time then Paris St-G win18.2%
Level at half-time then Man City win14.6%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Man City's side
Man City −2.017.5%
Man City −1.7520.9%
Man City −1.524.4%
Man City −1.2529.5%
Man City −1.034.7%
Man City −0.7539.8%
Man City −0.545.0%
Man City −0.2551.0%
Man City draw no bet (0.0)57.0%
Man City +0.2563.0%
Man City +0.569.0%
Man City +0.7573.2%
Man City +1.077.4%
Man City +1.585.7%
Man City +2.090.2%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Man City win2.22
Draw4.16
Paris St-G win3.23
Over 2.51.61
Under 2.52.63
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Man City wins by more than 1 goals24%
Paris St-G wins by more than 1 goals14%