Bolivian Cup

Academia de Balompie Boliviano vs Aurora prediction

Academia de Balompie Boliviano

0 – 1

Full-time

Aurora

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Academia de Balompie Boliviano

37%

Draw

24%

Aurora

38%

Actual result: Academia de Balompie Boliviano 0 – 1 Aurora · Aurora winJarvis gave this outcome: 38% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Academia de Balompie Boliviano, negative favours Aurora) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Academia de Balompie Boliviano - Aurora)-0.03

Expected total goals3.47

Expected goals Academia de Balompie Boliviano / Aurora1.72 / 1.75

Both teams to score (yes / no)68.7% / 31.3%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 87.0%

Over 2.5 goals 67.3%

Over 3.5 goals 45.6%

First half

First-half result (Academia de Balompie Boliviano / draw / Aurora)30.3% / 38.5% / 31.1%

A goal in the first half77.7%

Two or more in the first half47.5%

Half-time then full-time

Aurora lead at half-time then Aurora win23.4%

Academia de Balompie Boliviano lead at half-time then Academia de Balompie Boliviano win22.5%

Level at half-time then draw13.3%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Academia de Balompie Boliviano's side

Academia de Balompie Boliviano −2.013.9%

Academia de Balompie Boliviano −1.7516.7%

Academia de Balompie Boliviano −1.519.5%

Academia de Balompie Boliviano −1.2523.9%

Academia de Balompie Boliviano −1.028.4%

Academia de Balompie Boliviano −0.7532.8%

Academia de Balompie Boliviano −0.537.2%

Academia de Balompie Boliviano −0.2543.3%

Academia de Balompie Boliviano draw no bet (0.0)49.4%

Academia de Balompie Boliviano +0.2555.4%

Academia de Balompie Boliviano +0.561.5%

Academia de Balompie Boliviano +0.7566.0%

Academia de Balompie Boliviano +1.070.5%

Academia de Balompie Boliviano +1.579.5%

Academia de Balompie Boliviano +2.085.4%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Academia de Balompie Boliviano win2.69

Draw4.11

Aurora win2.60

Over 2.51.49

Under 2.53.06

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Academia de Balompie Boliviano wins by more than 1 goals20%

Aurora wins by more than 1 goals20%

Outcome probability

Probability trajectory · full match