English Premier League
Chelsea vs Bournemouth prediction
21:00, 10/10
Kicking off soonOutcome probability
Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Chelsea
54%
Draw
24%
Bournemouth
22%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Chelsea, negative favours Bournemouth) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Chelsea - Bournemouth)+0.77
Expected total goals3.09
Expected goals Chelsea / Bournemouth1.93 / 1.16
Both teams to score (yes / no)59.9% / 40.1%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 82.6%
Over 2.5 goals 59.7%
Over 3.5 goals 37.4%
First half
First-half result (Chelsea / draw / Bournemouth)40.4% / 40.0% / 19.6%
A goal in the first half73.9%
Two or more in the first half41.8%
Half-time then full-time
Chelsea lead at half-time then Chelsea win34.5%
Level at half-time then Chelsea win17.6%
Level at half-time then draw14.2%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Chelsea's side
Chelsea −2.023.9%
Chelsea −1.7528.1%
Chelsea −1.532.3%
Chelsea −1.2537.8%
Chelsea −1.043.2%
Chelsea −0.7548.7%
Chelsea −0.554.2%
Chelsea −0.2560.3%
Chelsea draw no bet (0.0)66.4%
Chelsea +0.2572.4%
Chelsea +0.578.5%
Chelsea +0.7581.7%
Chelsea +1.084.9%
Chelsea +1.591.2%
Chelsea +2.094.3%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Chelsea win1.84
Draw4.12
Bournemouth win4.65
Over 2.51.67
Under 2.52.48
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Chelsea wins by more than 1 goals32%
Bournemouth wins by more than 1 goals9%
Corners
Expected total corners10.6
6.5+ corners in the match49%
Cards
Expected total cards3.4
2.5+ cards in the match45%