Outcome probability
Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Paderborn
19%
Draw
21%
Stuttgart
61%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Paderborn, negative favours Stuttgart) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Paderborn - Stuttgart)-1.09
Expected total goals3.65
Expected goals Paderborn / Stuttgart1.28 / 2.37
Both teams to score (yes / no)66.4% / 33.6%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 88.8%
Over 2.5 goals 70.7%
Over 3.5 goals 49.6%
First half
First-half result (Paderborn / draw / Stuttgart)18.4% / 35.7% / 45.9%
A goal in the first half79.4%
Two or more in the first half50.2%
Half-time then full-time
Stuttgart lead at half-time then Stuttgart win40.1%
Level at half-time then Stuttgart win17.7%
Level at half-time then draw11.3%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Paderborn's side
Paderborn −2.05.2%
Paderborn −1.756.5%
Paderborn −1.57.8%
Paderborn −1.2510.5%
Paderborn −1.013.2%
Paderborn −0.7515.9%
Paderborn −0.518.6%
Paderborn −0.2523.8%
Paderborn draw no bet (0.0)28.9%
Paderborn +0.2534.1%
Paderborn +0.539.2%
Paderborn +0.7544.4%
Paderborn +1.049.6%
Paderborn +1.560.0%
Paderborn +2.069.0%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Paderborn win5.37
Draw4.86
Stuttgart win1.65
Over 2.51.41
Under 2.53.41
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Paderborn wins by more than 1 goals8%
Stuttgart wins by more than 1 goals40%
Corners
Expected total corners9.9
6.5+ corners in the match53%
Cards
Expected total cards2.7
2.5+ cards in the match50%