English Premier League

Sunderland vs Brighton prediction

Sunderland

21:00, 10/10

Kicking off soon

Brighton

Outcome probability

Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling

Offline

Sunderland

31%

Draw

29%

Brighton

40%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Sunderland, negative favours Brighton) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Sunderland - Brighton)-0.21

Expected total goals2.61

Expected goals Sunderland / Brighton1.20 / 1.41

Both teams to score (yes / no)54.1% / 45.9%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 74.8%

Over 2.5 goals 48.3%

Over 3.5 goals 26.5%

First half

First-half result (Sunderland / draw / Brighton)24.6% / 44.8% / 30.6%

A goal in the first half67.9%

Two or more in the first half33.9%

Half-time then full-time

Brighton ahead then Brighton win24.2%

level then draw18.1%

Sunderland ahead then Sunderland win17.9%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Quoted from Sunderland

Sunderland give 2 trái (−2.0)8.8%

Sunderland give 1 trái 3/4 (−1.75)11.1%

Sunderland give 1 trái rưỡi (−1.5)13.3%

Sunderland give 1 trái 1/4 (−1.25)17.6%

Sunderland give 1 trái (−1.0)22.0%

Sunderland give 3/4 trái (−0.75)26.3%

Sunderland give nửa trái (−0.5)30.7%

Sunderland give 1/4 trái (−0.25)37.9%

Level ball (0.0)45.1%

Sunderland receive 1/4 trái (+0.25)52.4%

Sunderland receive nửa trái (+0.5)59.6%

Sunderland receive 3/4 trái (+0.75)64.7%

Sunderland receive 1 trái (+1.0)69.9%

Sunderland receive 1 trái rưỡi (+1.5)80.2%

Sunderland receive 2 trái (+2.0)86.4%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Sunderland win3.26

Draw3.46

Brighton win2.47

Over 2.52.07

Under 2.51.94

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Sunderland wins by more than 1 goals13%

Brighton wins by more than 1 goals20%

Corners

Expected total corners9.6

6.5+ corners in the match49%

Cards

Expected total cards3.4

2.5+ cards in the match44%

Outcome probability

Probability trajectory