German Bundesliga
Augsburg vs Bayern Munich prediction
20:30, 10/10
Kicking off soonOutcome probability
Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Augsburg
6%
Draw
10%
Bayern Munich
84%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Augsburg, negative favours Bayern Munich) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Augsburg - Bayern Munich)-2.58
Expected total goals4.60
Expected goals Augsburg / Bayern Munich1.01 / 3.59
Both teams to score (yes / no)62.0% / 38.0%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 94.5%
Over 2.5 goals 83.7%
Over 3.5 goals 67.4%
First half
First-half result (Augsburg / draw / Bayern Munich)9.8% / 24.3% / 66.0%
A goal in the first half87.1%
Two or more in the first half61.5%
Half-time then full-time
Bayern Munich lead at half-time then Bayern Munich win62.8%
Level at half-time then Bayern Munich win17.2%
Level at half-time then draw4.8%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Augsburg's side
Augsburg −2.01.3%
Augsburg −1.751.6%
Augsburg −1.52.0%
Augsburg −1.253.1%
Augsburg −1.04.1%
Augsburg −0.755.2%
Augsburg −0.56.3%
Augsburg −0.258.7%
Augsburg draw no bet (0.0)11.2%
Augsburg +0.2513.7%
Augsburg +0.516.1%
Augsburg +0.7520.0%
Augsburg +1.023.9%
Augsburg +1.531.6%
Augsburg +2.041.0%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Augsburg win15.91
Draw10.15
Bayern Munich win1.19
Over 2.51.19
Under 2.56.15
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Augsburg wins by more than 1 goals2%
Bayern Munich wins by more than 1 goals68%
Corners
Expected total corners10.6
6.5+ corners in the match49%
Cards
Expected total cards2.7
2.5+ cards in the match50%