Saudi Professional League
Al-Hilal vs NEOM Sports Club prediction
0 – 2
Full-timeOutcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Al-Hilal
82%
Draw
12%
NEOM Sports Club
5%
Actual result: Al-Hilal 0 – 2 NEOM Sports Club · NEOM Sports Club winJarvis gave this outcome: 5%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Al-Hilal, negative favours NEOM Sports Club) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Al-Hilal - NEOM Sports Club)+2.22
Expected total goals3.47
Expected goals Al-Hilal / NEOM Sports Club2.84 / 0.62
Both teams to score (yes / no)44.0% / 56.0%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 86.4%
Over 2.5 goals 67.3%
Over 3.5 goals 45.6%
First half
First-half result (Al-Hilal / draw / NEOM Sports Club)62.2% / 30.2% / 7.6%
A goal in the first half78.5%
Two or more in the first half46.7%
Half-time then full-time
Al-Hilal lead at half-time then Al-Hilal win59.7%
Level at half-time then Al-Hilal win20.5%
Level at half-time then draw7.5%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Al-Hilal's side
Al-Hilal −2.052.4%
Al-Hilal −1.7557.9%
Al-Hilal −1.563.4%
Al-Hilal −1.2568.2%
Al-Hilal −1.072.9%
Al-Hilal −0.7577.7%
Al-Hilal −0.582.5%
Al-Hilal −0.2585.6%
Al-Hilal draw no bet (0.0)88.6%
Al-Hilal +0.2591.7%
Al-Hilal +0.594.8%
Al-Hilal +0.7595.8%
Al-Hilal +1.096.8%
Al-Hilal +1.598.7%
Al-Hilal +2.099.2%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Al-Hilal win1.21
Draw8.11
NEOM Sports Club win19.23
Over 2.51.49
Under 2.53.06
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Al-Hilal wins by more than 1 goals63%
NEOM Sports Club wins by more than 1 goals1%