Qatari Stars Cup
Al Mesaimeer vs Al Waab Sports Club prediction
00:15, 23/09
Result not verifiedOutcome probability
Jarvis prediction from BEFORE kickoff. The match has finished but we have not verified the score yet, so there is no comparison below.
Result not verified
Al Mesaimeer
30%
Draw
23%
Al Waab Sports Club
47%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Al Mesaimeer, negative favours Al Waab Sports Club) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Al Mesaimeer - Al Waab Sports Club)-0.41
Expected total goals3.34
Expected goals Al Mesaimeer / Al Waab Sports Club1.46 / 1.88
Both teams to score (yes / no)65.6% / 34.4%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 85.1%
Over 2.5 goals 64.9%
Over 3.5 goals 42.9%
First half
First-half result (Al Mesaimeer / draw / Al Waab Sports Club)25.8% / 37.6% / 36.7%
A goal in the first half77.2%
Two or more in the first half44.9%
Half-time then full-time
Al Waab Sports Club lead at half-time then Al Waab Sports Club win29.3%
Al Mesaimeer lead at half-time then Al Mesaimeer win17.5%
Level at half-time then Al Waab Sports Club win14.8%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Al Mesaimeer's side
Al Mesaimeer −2.09.4%
Al Mesaimeer −1.7511.6%
Al Mesaimeer −1.513.8%
Al Mesaimeer −1.2517.8%
Al Mesaimeer −1.021.8%
Al Mesaimeer −0.7525.7%
Al Mesaimeer −0.529.7%
Al Mesaimeer −0.2535.6%
Al Mesaimeer draw no bet (0.0)41.4%
Al Mesaimeer +0.2547.2%
Al Mesaimeer +0.553.0%
Al Mesaimeer +0.7558.2%
Al Mesaimeer +1.063.3%
Al Mesaimeer +1.573.6%
Al Mesaimeer +2.080.8%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Al Mesaimeer win3.36
Draw4.29
Al Waab Sports Club win2.13
Over 2.51.54
Under 2.52.85
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Al Mesaimeer wins by more than 1 goals14%
Al Waab Sports Club wins by more than 1 goals26%