Outcome probability
Jarvis prediction from BEFORE kickoff. The match has finished but we have not verified the score yet, so there is no comparison below.
Result not verified
Al Rayyan
25%
Draw
21%
Qatar SC
54%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Al Rayyan, negative favours Qatar SC) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Al Rayyan - Qatar SC)-0.73
Expected total goals3.49
Expected goals Al Rayyan / Qatar SC1.38 / 2.11
Both teams to score (yes / no)65.8% / 34.2%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 86.3%
Over 2.5 goals 67.7%
Over 3.5 goals 46.1%
First half
First-half result (Al Rayyan / draw / Qatar SC)23.1% / 35.0% / 41.9%
A goal in the first half79.2%
Two or more in the first half46.5%
Half-time then full-time
Qatar SC lead at half-time then Qatar SC win34.7%
Level at half-time then Qatar SC win15.8%
Al Rayyan lead at half-time then Al Rayyan win14.4%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Al Rayyan's side
Al Rayyan −2.07.2%
Al Rayyan −1.759.0%
Al Rayyan −1.510.7%
Al Rayyan −1.2514.2%
Al Rayyan −1.017.8%
Al Rayyan −0.7521.3%
Al Rayyan −0.524.9%
Al Rayyan −0.2530.1%
Al Rayyan draw no bet (0.0)35.3%
Al Rayyan +0.2540.6%
Al Rayyan +0.545.8%
Al Rayyan +0.7551.2%
Al Rayyan +1.056.6%
Al Rayyan +1.567.4%
Al Rayyan +2.075.6%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Al Rayyan win4.02
Draw4.77
Qatar SC win1.85
Over 2.51.48
Under 2.53.10
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Al Rayyan wins by more than 1 goals11%
Qatar SC wins by more than 1 goals33%