Saudi Professional League
Al-Shabab (KSA) vs Al-Hilal prediction
0 – 2
Full-timeOutcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Al-Shabab (KSA)
10%
Draw
15%
Al-Hilal
75%
Actual result: Al-Shabab (KSA) 0 – 2 Al-Hilal · Al-Hilal winJarvis gave this outcome: 75% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Al-Shabab (KSA), negative favours Al-Hilal) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Al-Shabab (KSA) - Al-Hilal)-1.77
Expected total goals3.52
Expected goals Al-Shabab (KSA) / Al-Hilal0.88 / 2.64
Both teams to score (yes / no)54.1% / 45.9%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 86.5%
Over 2.5 goals 68.2%
Over 3.5 goals 46.7%
First half
First-half result (Al-Shabab (KSA) / draw / Al-Hilal)12.4% / 31.2% / 56.5%
A goal in the first half79.6%
Two or more in the first half46.9%
Half-time then full-time
Al-Hilal lead at half-time then Al-Hilal win52.3%
Level at half-time then Al-Hilal win19.2%
Level at half-time then draw8.2%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Al-Shabab (KSA)'s side
Al-Shabab (KSA) −2.01.9%
Al-Shabab (KSA) −1.752.4%
Al-Shabab (KSA) −1.53.0%
Al-Shabab (KSA) −1.254.8%
Al-Shabab (KSA) −1.06.6%
Al-Shabab (KSA) −0.758.3%
Al-Shabab (KSA) −0.510.1%
Al-Shabab (KSA) −0.2513.8%
Al-Shabab (KSA) draw no bet (0.0)17.5%
Al-Shabab (KSA) +0.2521.2%
Al-Shabab (KSA) +0.525.0%
Al-Shabab (KSA) +0.7530.3%
Al-Shabab (KSA) +1.035.6%
Al-Shabab (KSA) +1.546.2%
Al-Shabab (KSA) +2.056.7%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Al-Shabab (KSA) win9.89
Draw6.73
Al-Hilal win1.33
Over 2.51.47
Under 2.53.15
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Al-Shabab (KSA) wins by more than 1 goals3%
Al-Hilal wins by more than 1 goals54%