Turkish Super League
Amed Sportif Faaliyetler vs Besiktas prediction
3 – 2
Full-timeOutcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Amed Sportif Faaliyetler
23%
Draw
26%
Besiktas
51%
Actual result: Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 3 – 2 Besiktas · Amed Sportif Faaliyetler winJarvis gave this outcome: 23%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Amed Sportif Faaliyetler, negative favours Besiktas) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Amed Sportif Faaliyetler - Besiktas)-0.65
Expected total goals2.94
Expected goals Amed Sportif Faaliyetler / Besiktas1.14 / 1.80
Both teams to score (yes / no)58.4% / 41.6%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 80.7%
Over 2.5 goals 56.3%
Over 3.5 goals 33.9%
First half
First-half result (Amed Sportif Faaliyetler / draw / Besiktas)19.9% / 42.2% / 37.9%
A goal in the first half71.7%
Two or more in the first half39.7%
Half-time then full-time
Besiktas lead at half-time then Besiktas win32.1%
Level at half-time then Besiktas win17.4%
Level at half-time then draw16.0%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Amed Sportif Faaliyetler's side
Amed Sportif Faaliyetler −2.06.1%
Amed Sportif Faaliyetler −1.757.7%
Amed Sportif Faaliyetler −1.59.4%
Amed Sportif Faaliyetler −1.2512.7%
Amed Sportif Faaliyetler −1.016.0%
Amed Sportif Faaliyetler −0.7519.3%
Amed Sportif Faaliyetler −0.522.6%
Amed Sportif Faaliyetler −0.2529.2%
Amed Sportif Faaliyetler draw no bet (0.0)35.7%
Amed Sportif Faaliyetler +0.2542.3%
Amed Sportif Faaliyetler +0.548.9%
Amed Sportif Faaliyetler +0.7554.3%
Amed Sportif Faaliyetler +1.059.7%
Amed Sportif Faaliyetler +1.570.6%
Amed Sportif Faaliyetler +2.078.6%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Amed Sportif Faaliyetler win4.43
Draw3.79
Besiktas win1.96
Over 2.51.78
Under 2.52.29
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Amed Sportif Faaliyetler wins by more than 1 goals9%
Besiktas wins by more than 1 goals29%