Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Anderlecht
67%
Draw
20%
Kortrijk
13%
Actual result: Anderlecht 1 – 0 Kortrijk · Anderlecht winJarvis gave this outcome: 67% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Anderlecht, negative favours Kortrijk) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Anderlecht - Kortrijk)+1.34
Expected total goals3.09
Expected goals Anderlecht / Kortrijk2.21 / 0.87
Both teams to score (yes / no)52.5% / 47.5%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 81.9%
Over 2.5 goals 59.6%
Over 3.5 goals 37.2%
First half
First-half result (Anderlecht / draw / Kortrijk)49.3% / 37.0% / 13.7%
A goal in the first half74.4%
Two or more in the first half41.1%
Half-time then full-time
Anderlecht lead at half-time then Anderlecht win44.8%
Level at half-time then Anderlecht win20.0%
Level at half-time then draw11.9%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Anderlecht's side
Anderlecht −2.034.1%
Anderlecht −1.7539.2%
Anderlecht −1.544.3%
Anderlecht −1.2550.0%
Anderlecht −1.055.8%
Anderlecht −0.7561.5%
Anderlecht −0.567.3%
Anderlecht −0.2572.2%
Anderlecht draw no bet (0.0)77.2%
Anderlecht +0.2582.1%
Anderlecht +0.587.1%
Anderlecht +0.7589.3%
Anderlecht +1.091.5%
Anderlecht +1.595.8%
Anderlecht +2.097.4%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Anderlecht win1.49
Draw5.04
Kortrijk win7.75
Over 2.51.68
Under 2.52.48
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Anderlecht wins by more than 1 goals44%
Kortrijk wins by more than 1 goals4%