Chilean Cup
Antofagasta vs Universidad de Chile prediction
2 – 0
Full-timeOutcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Antofagasta
6%
Draw
14%
Universidad de Chile
80%
Actual result: Antofagasta 2 – 0 Universidad de Chile · Antofagasta winJarvis gave this outcome: 6%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Antofagasta, negative favours Universidad de Chile) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Antofagasta - Universidad de Chile)-1.96
Expected total goals2.97
Expected goals Antofagasta / Universidad de Chile0.51 / 2.46
Both teams to score (yes / no)36.6% / 63.4%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 79.9%
Over 2.5 goals 57.0%
Over 3.5 goals 34.6%
First half
First-half result (Antofagasta / draw / Universidad de Chile)7.3% / 33.8% / 58.9%
A goal in the first half73.5%
Two or more in the first half38.9%
Half-time then full-time
Universidad de Chile lead at half-time then Universidad de Chile win56.3%
Level at half-time then Universidad de Chile win21.9%
Level at half-time then draw9.5%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Antofagasta's side
Antofagasta −2.00.7%
Antofagasta −1.750.9%
Antofagasta −1.51.1%
Antofagasta −1.252.2%
Antofagasta −1.03.3%
Antofagasta −0.754.4%
Antofagasta −0.55.5%
Antofagasta −0.259.1%
Antofagasta draw no bet (0.0)12.6%
Antofagasta +0.2516.2%
Antofagasta +0.519.8%
Antofagasta +0.7525.3%
Antofagasta +1.030.8%
Antofagasta +1.541.9%
Antofagasta +2.053.5%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Antofagasta win18.17
Draw7.00
Universidad de Chile win1.25
Over 2.51.75
Under 2.52.33
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Antofagasta wins by more than 1 goals1%
Universidad de Chile wins by more than 1 goals58%