Outcome probability
Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Barcelona
90%
Draw
7%
Getafe
4%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Barcelona, negative favours Getafe) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Barcelona - Getafe)+2.83
Expected total goals3.97
Expected goals Barcelona / Getafe3.40 / 0.57
Both teams to score (yes / no)41.4% / 58.6%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 90.1%
Over 2.5 goals 75.8%
Over 3.5 goals 56.1%
First half
First-half result (Barcelona / draw / Getafe)71.1% / 22.0% / 6.9%
A goal in the first half84.2%
Two or more in the first half52.3%
Half-time then full-time
Barcelona lead at half-time then Barcelona win68.9%
Level at half-time then Barcelona win16.9%
Level at half-time then draw3.7%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Barcelona's side
Barcelona −2.064.1%
Barcelona −1.7569.1%
Barcelona −1.574.1%
Barcelona −1.2578.0%
Barcelona −1.081.8%
Barcelona −0.7585.7%
Barcelona −0.589.6%
Barcelona −0.2591.3%
Barcelona draw no bet (0.0)92.9%
Barcelona +0.2594.6%
Barcelona +0.596.3%
Barcelona +0.7597.0%
Barcelona +1.097.8%
Barcelona +1.599.3%
Barcelona +2.099.6%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Barcelona win1.12
Draw15.05
Getafe win26.80
Over 2.51.32
Under 2.54.12
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Barcelona wins by more than 1 goals74%
Getafe wins by more than 1 goals1%
Corners
Expected total corners10.8
6.5+ corners in the match51%