UEFA Women's Champions League

Barcelona (W) vs Paris FC (W) prediction

Barcelona (W)

5 – 2

Full-time

Paris FC (W)

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Barcelona (W)

98%

Draw

Paris FC (W)

Actual result: Barcelona (W) 5 – 2 Paris FC (W) · Barcelona (W) winJarvis gave this outcome: 98% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Barcelona (W), negative favours Paris FC (W)) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Barcelona (W) - Paris FC (W))+4.62

Expected total goals5.38

Expected goals Barcelona (W) / Paris FC (W)5.00 / 0.38

Both teams to score (yes / no)31.5% / 68.5%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 97.2%

Over 2.5 goals 90.4%

Over 3.5 goals 78.4%

First half

First-half result (Barcelona (W) / draw / Paris FC (W))84.7% / 14.0% / 1.3%

A goal in the first half90.4%

Two or more in the first half70.2%

Half-time then full-time

Barcelona (W) lead at half-time then Barcelona (W) win84.4%

Level at half-time then Barcelona (W) win12.5%

Level at half-time then draw1.4%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Barcelona (W)'s side

Barcelona (W) −2.087.2%

Barcelona (W) −1.7589.8%

Barcelona (W) −1.592.4%

Barcelona (W) −1.2593.6%

Barcelona (W) −1.094.9%

Barcelona (W) −0.7596.2%

Barcelona (W) −0.597.5%

Barcelona (W) −0.2598.1%

Barcelona (W) draw no bet (0.0)98.6%

Barcelona (W) +0.2599.2%

Barcelona (W) +0.599.7%

Barcelona (W) +0.7599.8%

Barcelona (W) +1.099.8%

Barcelona (W) +1.599.9%

Barcelona (W) +2.0100.0%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Barcelona (W) win1.03

Draw45.36

Paris FC (W) win338.93

Over 2.51.11

Under 2.510.37

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Barcelona (W) wins by more than 1 goals92%

Paris FC (W) wins by more than 1 goals0%

Outcome probability

Probability trajectory · full match