Portuguese Primeira Liga

Benfica vs Academico de Viseu prediction

2 – 2

Full-time

Match summary

Benfica vs Academico de Viseu (Portuguese Primeira Liga), 10/08/2026, finished 2-2: a draw. Before the match Jarvis gave Benfica 89%, the draw 8% and Academico de Viseu 3%; the actual result had a 8% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 3-0. The match had 4 goals; Jarvis expected 3.5.

Next for Benfica: Omonia Nicosia (Fri 23/10, 02:00 GMT+7)

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Benfica

89%

Draw

Academico de Viseu

Actual result: Benfica 2 – 2 Academico de Viseu · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 8%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Benfica, negative favours Academico de Viseu) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Benfica - Academico de Viseu)+2.63

Expected total goals3.52

Expected goals Benfica / Academico de Viseu3.08 / 0.45

Both teams to score (yes / no)34.1% / 65.9%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 86.5%

Over 2.5 goals 68.3%

Over 3.5 goals 46.8%

First half

First-half result (Benfica / draw / Academico de Viseu)68.4% / 26.2% / 5.4%

A goal in the first half79.7%

Two or more in the first half46.8%

Half-time then full-time

Benfica lead at half-time then Benfica win66.6%

Level at half-time then Benfica win19.5%

Level at half-time then draw5.4%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Benfica's side

Benfica −2.060.7%

Benfica −1.7566.1%

Benfica −1.571.5%

Benfica −1.2575.8%

Benfica −1.080.0%

Benfica −0.7584.3%

Benfica −0.588.6%

Benfica −0.2590.6%

Benfica draw no bet (0.0)92.7%

Benfica +0.2594.8%

Benfica +0.596.9%

Benfica +0.7597.5%

Benfica +1.098.2%

Benfica +1.599.5%

Benfica +2.099.7%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Benfica win1.13

Draw12.00

Academico de Viseu win32.11

Over 2.51.46

Under 2.53.15

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Benfica wins by more than 1 goals71%

Academico de Viseu wins by more than 1 goals1%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

Benfica

vs Omonia Nicosia (away)Fri 23/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27
vs Lech PoznanFri 06/11, 03:00 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27