Italian Serie A

Bologna vs Inter prediction

23:00, 17/10
GMT+7
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Bologna meet Inter in the Serie A, kick-off 23:00 on 17/10 (GMT+7). In the table, Bologna are 14th (5 points from 6 games) and Inter are 1st (16 points from 6 games). Jarvis gives Bologna a 16% chance to win, 24% for a draw and 60% for Inter; the score Jarvis predicts is 0-2. Jarvis expects 2.8 goals in the match: both teams score with 52%, 3 or more goals with 53%.

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Outcome probability

Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Bologna
16%
Draw
24%
Inter
60%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Bologna, negative favours Inter) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Bologna - Inter)-1.01
Expected total goals2.81
Expected goals Bologna / Inter0.90 / 1.91
Both teams to score (yes / no)51.6% / 48.4%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 78.2%
Over 2.5 goals 53.2%
Over 3.5 goals 31.0%
First half
First-half result (Bologna / draw / Inter)15.4% / 41.2% / 43.5%
A goal in the first half70.6%
Two or more in the first half37.1%
Half-time then full-time
Inter lead at half-time then Inter win38.6%
Level at half-time then Inter win19.6%
Level at half-time then draw15.0%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Bologna's side
Bologna −2.03.4%
Bologna −1.754.5%
Bologna −1.55.5%
Bologna −1.258.1%
Bologna −1.010.7%
Bologna −0.7513.3%
Bologna −0.515.9%
Bologna −0.2521.9%
Bologna draw no bet (0.0)28.0%
Bologna +0.2534.0%
Bologna +0.540.0%
Bologna +0.7545.9%
Bologna +1.051.8%
Bologna +1.563.5%
Bologna +2.072.9%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Bologna win6.28
Draw4.15
Inter win1.67
Over 2.51.88
Under 2.52.14

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Bologna wins by more than 1 goals6%
Inter wins by more than 1 goals36%
Corners
Expected total corners9.4
6.5+ corners in the match47%

Probability trajectory

Bologna vs Inter injury report and team news

Bologna
  • E. HolmOut · Thigh Injury
  • S. MbangulaOut · Injury
  • J. OdgaardOut · Thigh Injury
  • A. TheateDoubtful · Leg Injury
Inter
  • C. JonesOut · Thigh Injury
  • J. StonesOut · Injury

Bologna vs Inter team form

BolognaWDLDL
Last 5 matches
11/10/2026Lecce (away)2–1
19/09/2026Torino (home)1–1
13/09/2026Napoli (away)0–1
06/09/2026Sassuolo (home)2–2
31/08/2026Atalanta (away)0–1
InterLWWDW
Last 5 matches
13/10/2026Club Brugge KV (home)3–4
10/10/2026Parma (home)3–0
03/10/2026Lumezzane (home)2–0
19/09/2026AS Roma (away)2–2
14/09/2026Udinese (home)5–3

Bologna vs Inter head to head (H2H)

Head to head record, last 10 meetings: Bologna won 3, drew 4, lost 3. Bologna scored 14 and conceded 19 goals.

DateHomeScoreAway
23/05/2026Bologna3–3Inter
04/01/2026Inter3–1Bologna
19/12/2025Bologna1–1Inter
20/04/2025Bologna1–0Inter
15/01/2025Inter2–2Bologna
09/03/2024Bologna0–1Inter
20/12/2023Inter1–2Bologna
07/10/2023Inter2–2Bologna
26/02/2023Bologna1–0Inter
09/11/2022Inter6–1Bologna

Match information

Referee
Daniele Doveri
Venue
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna
Round
7

Next fixtures of both teams

  • vs Cagliari (away)Sat 24/10, 20:00 GMT+7 · Serie A 26-27
  • vs AC Milan (away)Thu 29/10, 00:30 GMT+7 · Serie A 26-27
  • vs Shakhtar DonetskThu 22/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27
  • vs FiorentinaSun 25/10, 18:30 GMT+7 · Serie A 26-27

Other matches on 17/10 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Serie A table, latest

#TeamPGDPts
1Internazionale6+1016
2Lazio6+716
3AS Roma6+1114
...
13Lecce6-66
14Bologna6-25
15Udinese6-44

See the full Serie A table