Outcome probability
Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Man City
81%
Draw
12%
Ipswich
7%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Man City, negative favours Ipswich) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Man City - Ipswich)+2.01
Expected total goals3.23
Expected goals Man City / Ipswich2.62 / 0.61
Both teams to score (yes / no)41.8% / 58.2%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 82.8%
Over 2.5 goals 62.6%
Over 3.5 goals 40.3%
First half
First-half result (Man City / draw / Ipswich)60.4% / 30.5% / 9.1%
A goal in the first half77.1%
Two or more in the first half42.0%
Half-time then full-time
Man City lead at half-time then Man City win57.2%
Level at half-time then Man City win20.1%
Level at half-time then draw7.6%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Man City's side
Man City −2.047.9%
Man City −1.7553.5%
Man City −1.559.1%
Man City −1.2564.5%
Man City −1.069.9%
Man City −0.7575.4%
Man City −0.580.8%
Man City −0.2583.9%
Man City draw no bet (0.0)87.0%
Man City +0.2590.1%
Man City +0.593.2%
Man City +0.7594.5%
Man City +1.095.8%
Man City +1.598.5%
Man City +2.099.1%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Man City win1.24
Draw8.07
Ipswich win14.61
Over 2.51.60
Under 2.52.67
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Man City wins by more than 1 goals59%
Ipswich wins by more than 1 goals1%
Probability trajectory
Man City vs Ipswich team form
Man CityWWWWW| 11/10/2026 | Liverpool (away) | 3–0 |
| 20/09/2026 | Sunderland (home) | 5–3 |
| 17/09/2026 | Norwich (home) | 5–0 |
| 13/09/2026 | Manchester United (away) | 1–0 |
| 08/09/2026 | FC Porto (away) | 2–0 |
IpswichWLLWL| 10/10/2026 | Fulham (home) | 2–1 |
| 19/09/2026 | Everton (away) | 0–1 |
| 15/09/2026 | Arsenal (home) | 2–4 |
| 12/09/2026 | Crystal Palace (away) | 3–2 |
| 04/09/2026 | Liverpool (home) | 0–2 |
Man City vs Ipswich head to head (H2H)
Head to head record, last 2 meetings: Man City won 2, drew 0, lost 0. Man City scored 10 and conceded 1 goals.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/01/2025 | Ipswich | 0–6 | Manchester City |
| 24/08/2024 | Manchester City | 4–1 | Ipswich |
Match information
- Venue
- Etihad Stadium, Manchester
- Round
- 7