French Ligue 1

Strasbourg vs Paris St-G prediction

Strasbourg

22:15, 17/10

GMT+7

Kicking off soon

Paris St-G

Quick preview

Strasbourg meet Paris St-G in the Ligue 1, kick-off 22:15 on 17/10 (GMT+7). In the table, Strasbourg are 12th (7 points from 6 games) and Paris St-G are 6th (11 points from 6 games). Jarvis gives Strasbourg a 13% chance to win, 17% for a draw and 70% for Paris St-G; the score Jarvis predicts is 1-2. Jarvis expects 3.5 goals in the match: both teams score with 57%, 3 or more goals with 67%.

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Outcome probability

Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling

Offline

Strasbourg

13%

Draw

17%

Paris St-G

70%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Strasbourg, negative favours Paris St-G) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Strasbourg - Paris St-G)-1.51

Expected total goals3.47

Expected goals Strasbourg / Paris St-G0.98 / 2.49

Both teams to score (yes / no)57.3% / 42.7%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 86.1%

Over 2.5 goals 67.4%

Over 3.5 goals 45.7%

First half

First-half result (Strasbourg / draw / Paris St-G)14.5% / 32.8% / 52.8%

A goal in the first half79.0%

Two or more in the first half46.3%

Half-time then full-time

Paris St-G lead at half-time then Paris St-G win47.9%

Level at half-time then Paris St-G win18.8%

Level at half-time then draw9.2%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Strasbourg's side

Strasbourg −2.02.7%

Strasbourg −1.753.5%

Strasbourg −1.54.2%

Strasbourg −1.256.4%

Strasbourg −1.08.6%

Strasbourg −0.7510.7%

Strasbourg −0.512.9%

Strasbourg −0.2517.1%

Strasbourg draw no bet (0.0)21.3%

Strasbourg +0.2525.5%

Strasbourg +0.529.7%

Strasbourg +0.7535.2%

Strasbourg +1.040.7%

Strasbourg +1.551.6%

Strasbourg +2.061.8%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Strasbourg win7.78

Draw5.94

Paris St-G win1.42

Over 2.51.48

Under 2.53.06

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Strasbourg wins by more than 1 goals4%

Paris St-G wins by more than 1 goals48%

Corners

Expected total corners9.1

6.5+ corners in the match56%

Probability trajectory

Strasbourg vs Paris St-G injury report and team news

Strasbourg

M. GodoOut · Muscle Injury
S. NanasiOut · Injury
J. PanichelliOut · Knee Injury

Paris St-G

S. MayuluOut · Groin Injury
A. LongoniDoubtful · Injury

Strasbourg vs Paris St-G team form

StrasbourgLLDWW

Last 5 matches
11/10/2026	Nice (away)	1–2	Ligue 1
19/09/2026	Paris FC (away)	1–2	Ligue 1
12/09/2026	Monaco (home)	1–1	Ligue 1
06/09/2026	Estac Troyes (away)	6–2	Ligue 1
29/08/2026	Lens (home)	2–1	Ligue 1

Paris St-GWWWWW

Last 5 matches
14/10/2026	Manchester City (away)	4–2	UEFA Champions League
10/10/2026	Le Mans (home)	3–1	Ligue 1
20/09/2026	Marseille (away)	2–1	Ligue 1
13/09/2026	Stade Brestois 29 (away)	1–0	Ligue 1
09/09/2026	Slovan Bratislava (home)	6–1	UEFA Champions League

Strasbourg vs Paris St-G head to head (H2H)

Head to head record, last 10 meetings: Strasbourg won 1, drew 3, lost 6. Strasbourg scored 16 and conceded 25 goals.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Competition
01/02/2026	Strasbourg	1–2	Paris Saint Germain	Ligue 1
17/10/2025	Paris Saint Germain	3–3	Strasbourg	Ligue 1
03/05/2025	Strasbourg	2–1	Paris Saint Germain	Ligue 1
19/10/2024	Paris Saint Germain	4–2	Strasbourg	Ligue 1
02/02/2024	Strasbourg	1–2	Paris Saint Germain	Ligue 1
21/10/2023	Paris Saint Germain	3–0	Strasbourg	Ligue 1
27/05/2023	Strasbourg	1–1	Paris Saint Germain	Ligue 1
28/12/2022	Paris Saint Germain	2–1	Strasbourg	Ligue 1
29/04/2022	Strasbourg	3–3	Paris Saint Germain	Ligue 1
14/08/2021	Paris Saint Germain	4–2	Strasbourg	Ligue 1

Match information

Referee: Willy Delajod
Venue: Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg
Round: 7

Next fixtures of both teams

Strasbourg

vs Stade Rennais (away)Sun 25/10, 23:15 GMT+7 · Ligue 1 26-27
vs AJ AuxerreSun 01/11, 21:00 GMT+7 · Ligue 1 26-27

Paris St-G

vs BarcelonaWed 21/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27
vs LyonMon 26/10, 02:45 GMT+7 · Ligue 1 26-27

Other matches on 17/10 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Ligue 1 table, latest

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	AS Monaco	6	+5	14
2	Lille	6	+5	13
3	Stade Rennais	6	+2	13
...
5	Paris FC	6	+4	11
6	Paris Saint-Germain	6	+3	11
7	Toulouse	7	+1	9
...
11	Lens	6	+1	7
12	Strasbourg	6	-1	7
13	Angers	6	-3	7

See the full Ligue 1 table