Outcome probability
Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Brentford
39%
Draw
28%
Liverpool
33%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Brentford, negative favours Liverpool) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Brentford - Liverpool)+0.15
Expected total goals2.91
Expected goals Brentford / Liverpool1.53 / 1.38
Both teams to score (yes / no)60.1% / 39.9%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 80.2%
Over 2.5 goals 55.6%
Over 3.5 goals 33.2%
First half
First-half result (Brentford / draw / Liverpool)30.6% / 43.0% / 26.4%
A goal in the first half71.4%
Two or more in the first half39.2%
Half-time then full-time
Brentford lead at half-time then Brentford win23.8%
Liverpool lead at half-time then Liverpool win19.4%
Level at half-time then draw16.7%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Brentford's side
Brentford −2.014.0%
Brentford −1.7517.1%
Brentford −1.520.1%
Brentford −1.2525.0%
Brentford −1.029.8%
Brentford −0.7534.6%
Brentford −0.539.4%
Brentford −0.2546.4%
Brentford draw no bet (0.0)53.3%
Brentford +0.2560.3%
Brentford +0.567.2%
Brentford +0.7571.5%
Brentford +1.075.8%
Brentford +1.584.5%
Brentford +2.089.4%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Brentford win2.54
Draw3.60
Liverpool win3.05
Over 2.51.80
Under 2.52.25
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Brentford wins by more than 1 goals20%
Liverpool wins by more than 1 goals16%
Probability trajectory
Brentford vs Liverpool team form
BrentfordDWWDD| 10/10/2026 | Aston Villa (away) | 2–2 |
| 18/09/2026 | Chelsea (home) | 3–0 |
| 15/09/2026 | Reading (away) | 2–1 |
| 12/09/2026 | Bournemouth (away) | 2–2 |
| 05/09/2026 | Sunderland (home) | 1–1 |
LiverpoolLWWD| 11/10/2026 | Manchester City (home) | 0–3 |
| 20/09/2026 | Bournemouth (away) | 1–0 |
| 15/09/2026 | Tottenham (home) | 3–1 |
| 12/09/2026 | Fulham (home) | 0–0 |
Brentford vs Liverpool head to head (H2H)
Head to head record, last 10 meetings: Brentford won 2, drew 2, lost 6. Brentford scored 11 and conceded 22 goals.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/2026 | Liverpool | 1–1 | Brentford |
| 25/10/2025 | Brentford | 3–2 | Liverpool |
| 18/01/2025 | Brentford | 0–2 | Liverpool |
| 25/08/2024 | Liverpool | 2–0 | Brentford |
| 17/02/2024 | Brentford | 1–4 | Liverpool |
| 12/11/2023 | Liverpool | 3–0 | Brentford |
| 06/05/2023 | Liverpool | 1–0 | Brentford |
| 02/01/2023 | Brentford | 3–1 | Liverpool |
| 16/01/2022 | Liverpool | 3–0 | Brentford |
| 25/09/2021 | Brentford | 3–3 | Liverpool |
Match information
- Venue
- Brentford Community Stadium, London
- Round
- 7