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German Bundesliga

Hamburger SV vs Stuttgart prediction

Hamburger SV
20:30, 17/10
GMT+7
Kicking off soon
Stuttgart

Quick preview

Hamburger SV meet Stuttgart in the Bundesliga, kick-off 20:30 on 17/10 (GMT+7). Jarvis gives Hamburger SV a 23% chance to win, 24% for a draw and 53% for Stuttgart; the score Jarvis predicts is 1-2. Jarvis expects 3.4 goals in the match: both teams score with 65%, 3 or more goals with 65%.

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Outcome probability

Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Hamburger SV
23%
Draw
24%
Stuttgart
53%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Hamburger SV, negative favours Stuttgart) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Hamburger SV - Stuttgart)-0.74
Expected total goals3.37
Expected goals Hamburger SV / Stuttgart1.31 / 2.05
Both teams to score (yes / no)65.2% / 34.8%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 86.5%
Over 2.5 goals 65.4%
Over 3.5 goals 43.4%
First half
First-half result (Hamburger SV / draw / Stuttgart)20.5% / 39.7% / 39.9%
A goal in the first half76.0%
Two or more in the first half46.7%
Half-time then full-time
Stuttgart lead at half-time then Stuttgart win33.9%
Level at half-time then Stuttgart win17.1%
Level at half-time then draw14.1%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Hamburger SV's side
Hamburger SV −2.06.7%
Hamburger SV −1.758.4%
Hamburger SV −1.510.1%
Hamburger SV −1.2513.2%
Hamburger SV −1.016.4%
Hamburger SV −0.7519.5%
Hamburger SV −0.522.6%
Hamburger SV −0.2528.7%
Hamburger SV draw no bet (0.0)34.8%
Hamburger SV +0.2540.9%
Hamburger SV +0.546.9%
Hamburger SV +0.7552.1%
Hamburger SV +1.057.2%
Hamburger SV +1.567.5%
Hamburger SV +2.075.7%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Hamburger SV win4.42
Draw4.12
Stuttgart win1.88
Over 2.51.53
Under 2.52.89

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Hamburger SV wins by more than 1 goals10%
Stuttgart wins by more than 1 goals33%
Corners
Expected total corners10.4
6.5+ corners in the match47%
Cards
Expected total cards2.7
2.5+ cards in the match50%

Probability trajectory

Hamburger SV vs Stuttgart injury report and team news

Hamburger SV
  • P. DakaOut · Thigh Injury
  • N. RembergOut · Knee Injury
  • M. VuskovicOut · Doping
  • B. JattaDoubtful · Groin Injury
  • A. S. LokongaDoubtful · Lacking Match Fitness
Stuttgart
  • A. Al DakhilOut · Knee Injury
  • J. DiehlOut · Muscle Injury
  • M. MittelstadtDoubtful · Heel Injury
  • N. NarteyDoubtful · Muscle Injury
  • T. TomasDoubtful · Muscle Injury
  • D. ZagadouDoubtful · Muscle Injury

Hamburger SV vs Stuttgart team form

Hamburger SVWWWLL
Last 5 matches
10/10/20261899 Hoffenheim (away)3–2
04/10/2026FC Copenhagen (home)2–0
19/09/20261. FC Koln (home)2–1
13/09/2026RB Leipzig (away)0–5
06/09/2026FSV Mainz 05 (home)0–5
StuttgartWWWWL
Last 5 matches
14/10/2026Slovan Bratislava (away)3–0
10/10/2026SC Paderborn 07 (away)2–0
01/10/2026SpVgg Greuther Furth (home)5–0
25/09/20261. FC Heidenheim (home)3–0
19/09/2026Borussia Dortmund (home)0–1

Hamburger SV vs Stuttgart head to head (H2H)

Head to head record, last 10 meetings: Hamburger SV won 3, drew 1, lost 6. Hamburger SV scored 18 and conceded 23 goals.

DateHomeScoreAway
12/04/2026VfB Stuttgart4–0Hamburger SV
30/11/2025Hamburger SV2–1VfB Stuttgart
05/06/2023Hamburger SV1–3VfB Stuttgart
01/06/2023VfB Stuttgart3–0Hamburger SV
26/08/2020VfB Stuttgart3–2Hamburger SV
28/05/2020VfB Stuttgart3–2Hamburger SV
29/10/2019Hamburger SV1–2VfB Stuttgart
26/10/2019Hamburger SV6–2VfB Stuttgart
31/03/2018VfB Stuttgart1–1Hamburger SV
04/11/2017Hamburger SV3–1VfB Stuttgart

Match information

Referee
Robert Hartmann
Venue
Volksparkstadion, Hamburger
Round
6

Next fixtures of both teams

Stuttgart

Other matches on 17/10 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Bundesliga table, latest

#TeamPGDPts
1SC Freiburg5+1013
2Borussia Dortmund5+713
3Bayern Munich5+1211
...
11FC Cologne6-37
12VfB Stuttgart5-16
13Hamburg SV5-106

See the full Bundesliga table