Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Betis
64%
Draw
24%
Getafe
12%
Actual result: Betis 1 – 0 Getafe · Betis winJarvis gave this outcome: 64% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Betis, negative favours Getafe) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Betis - Getafe)+1.13
Expected total goals2.40
Expected goals Betis / Getafe1.76 / 0.64
Both teams to score (yes / no)39.6% / 60.4%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 69.7%
Over 2.5 goals 43.0%
Over 3.5 goals 22.1%
First half
First-half result (Betis / draw / Getafe)44.9% / 43.0% / 12.1%
A goal in the first half65.6%
Two or more in the first half29.8%
Half-time then full-time
Betis lead at half-time then Betis win40.9%
Level at half-time then Betis win21.4%
Level at half-time then draw16.1%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Betis's side
Betis −2.027.7%
Betis −1.7532.7%
Betis −1.537.7%
Betis −1.2544.3%
Betis −1.050.9%
Betis −0.7557.5%
Betis −0.564.0%
Betis −0.2569.9%
Betis draw no bet (0.0)75.8%
Betis +0.2581.7%
Betis +0.587.6%
Betis +0.7589.9%
Betis +1.092.2%
Betis +1.596.8%
Betis +2.098.1%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Betis win1.56
Draw4.24
Getafe win8.08
Over 2.52.33
Under 2.51.75
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Betis wins by more than 1 goals38%
Getafe wins by more than 1 goals3%
Corners
Expected total corners9.4
6.5+ corners in the match47%
Cards
Expected total cards4.6
2.5+ cards in the match49%